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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 103.6 | $0.985 | $102 | 9d ago |
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| sell |
| 185.18 |
| $0.005 |
| $0.93 |
| 9d ago |
Will David Puig win the 2026 PGA Championship?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 18, 2026 |
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
Anthropic CEO arrested?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
Will the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
Macron out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?Yes | buy | 71.22 | $0.014 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.014 | $2 | May 14, 2026 |
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 56.32 | $0.018 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.018 | $2 | May 14, 2026 |
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?Yes | buy | 108.11 | $0.037 | $4 | May 13, 2026 |
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.056 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | buy | 54.05 | $0.037 | $2 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will Tan Zhongyi win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament?Yes | buy | 1.88K | $0.001 | $1.88 | Apr 20, 2026 |
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics76ers | buy | 43.19 | $0.044 | $1.89 | Apr 20, 2026 |
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Suns vs. ThunderSuns | buy | 188.18 | $0.015 | $2.82 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Forsen to get signed by an LCK prog org by Jun 30?Yes | buy | 153.86 | $0.013 | $2 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.021 | $2 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?Yes | buy | 201.65 | $0.010 | $2 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.036 | $2 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.025 | $2 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 43.35 | $0.046 | $2 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.050 | $3 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.009 | $2 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?Yes | buy | 157.41 | $0.006 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Tiger Woods play in the 2026 Masters Tournament?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | buy | 185.19 | $0.027 | $5 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 54.55 | $0.055 | $3 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 119.74 | $0.953 | $114.14 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 119.74 | $0.927 | $111 | Apr 6, 2026 |
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 102.14 | $0.073 | $7.46 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | sell | 88.23 | $0.035 | $3.09 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.015 | $5 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.050 | $3 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | buy | 88.24 | $0.034 | $3 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.006 | $3 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 102.14 | $0.098 | $10 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.084 | $3 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.039 | $5 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.830 | $16.6 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Will Austria win on 2025-10-12?Yes | buy | 11.13 | $0.530 | $5.9 | Oct 11, 2025 |
Will Oscar Piastri finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?Yes | buy | 101.9 | $0.029 | $3 | Oct 10, 2025 |
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Oct 10, 2025 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 37.5 | $0.080 | $3 | Oct 10, 2025 |
Will Pope Leo visit another country first?Yes | buy | 55.08 | $0.054 | $3 | Oct 10, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 192.31 | $0.026 | $5 | Oct 10, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Oct 10, 2025 |
Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Oct 9, 2025 |