Analytics
Resolved Yes on 2 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 51% on 4 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 62 daily closes on record from 4 Dec 2025 to 2 Feb 2026, the highest close was 99.8% on 2 Feb 2026 and the lowest 51% on 4 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 73% on 22 Dec 2025. $291.3K traded over the market's life.
51 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 3, 4:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 62 points, 4 Dec 2025 – 2 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Dec 2025 | 51.0% |
| 2 Feb 2026 | 99.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LukeDelta | No | 2.5K |
| LukeGamma | No | 1.5K |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 664.06 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed NBA player is traded from their current team to another NBA team before the 2025-2026 NBA trade deadline. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The NBA trade deadline for the 2025-2026 season is scheduled for February 5, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-nba-players-will-be-traded-this-season
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| No |
| 518 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 505 |
| kamarat | No | 300 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 286 |
| Yieldgeneratooor | No | 261.78 |
| LukeAlpha | No | 250 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 218 |
