Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.47 | $0.957 | $0.46 | +$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 30 | $0.966 | $28.98 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 30 |
| $0.966 |
| $28.98 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 38 | $0.966 | $36.71 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | buy | 38 | $0.961 | $36.52 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 71 | $0.520 | $36.92 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 47 | $0.400 | $18.8 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 47 | $0.530 | $24.91 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.760 | $7.6 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 56 | $0.760 | $42.56 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 4 | $0.690 | $2.76 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.330 | $3.3 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.330 | $12.21 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 54 | $0.740 | $39.96 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 54 | $0.740 | $39.96 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.270 | $10.8 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 55 | $0.720 | $39.6 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 59 | $0.730 | $43.07 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 50 | $0.860 | $43 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 53 | $0.036 | $1.91 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 95 | $0.036 | $3.42 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 41 | $0.963 | $39.48 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 37 | $0.410 | $15.17 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.808 | $24.24 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 74 | $0.130 | $9.62 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 74 | $0.120 | $8.88 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.928 | $41.76 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 22 | $0.670 | $14.74 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 42 | $0.670 | $28.14 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 29 | $0.987 | $28.62 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 6 | $0.860 | $5.16 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 29 | $0.862 | $25 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.060 | $0.3 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 72 | $0.050 | $3.6 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | buy | 57 | $0.660 | $37.62 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 97 | $0.240 | $23.28 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 97 | $0.240 | $23.28 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 61 | $0.680 | $41.48 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 61 | $0.730 | $44.53 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?No | sell | 49 | $0.905 | $44.35 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?No | buy | 49 | $0.904 | $44.3 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes | buy | 57 | $0.100 | $5.7 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 59 | $0.690 | $40.71 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 59 | $0.700 | $41.3 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 41 | $0.985 | $40.39 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 34 | $0.958 | $32.57 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 47 | $0.957 | $44.98 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 39 | $0.809 | $31.55 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.053 | $0.79 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?No | sell | 5 | $0.853 | $4.27 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?Yes | sell | 28 | $0.023 | $0.64 | Oct 24, 2025 |