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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | No | 161.78 | $0.989 | $160.24 | +$0.24 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 100.91 | $0.991 | $100 | 7d ago |
|
| No |
| 100.91 |
| $0.991 |
| $100.15 |
| +$0.15 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | No | 96.84 | $0.981 | $95.63 | +$0.63 |
| buy |
| 161.78 |
| $0.989 |
| $160 |
| 7d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 96.84 | $0.981 | $95 | 7d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | buy | 130.39 | $0.997 | $130 | 29d ago |
 Iran leadership change by August 22?No | buy | 101.01 | $0.990 | $100 | 29d ago |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 121.27 | $0.990 | $120 | 29d ago |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?No | buy | 161.29 | $0.992 | $160 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 194.5 | $0.977 | $190 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No | buy | 101.83 | $0.982 | $100 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 100 | $0.995 | $99.5 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No | buy | 202.02 | $0.990 | $200 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 143.88 | $0.973 | $140 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 8?No | buy | 122.2 | $0.982 | $120 | May 7, 2026 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?No | buy | 215.81 | $0.987 | $213 | May 7, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 323.92 | $0.991 | $321 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 15, 2026?No | buy | 131.31 | $0.990 | $130 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 112.14 | $0.990 | $111 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | sell | 122 | $0.988 | $120.54 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 48.37 | $0.827 | $40 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 111.64 | $0.324 | $36.17 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 US strike on Colombia by March 31?No | buy | 123.46 | $0.972 | $120 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 168.42 | $0.950 | $160 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 111.65 | $0.896 | $100 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of February 2 above $290?No | buy | 281.69 | $0.994 | $280 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 360.16 | $0.994 | $358 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 5, 2026?No | buy | 261.04 | $0.996 | $260 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?No | buy | 112.34 | $0.997 | $112 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Pump.fun all time high by December 31?No | buy | 236.18 | $0.995 | $235 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?No | buy | 122.74 | $0.994 | $122 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 365.19 | $0.994 | $363 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by November 5?No | buy | 167.5 | $0.997 | $167 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will the price of XRP be above $2.10 on November 5?Yes | buy | 188.94 | $0.995 | $188 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31?No | buy | 353.15 | $0.991 | $350 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on October 20?Yes | buy | 271.08 | $0.996 | $270 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No | buy | 68.2 | $0.997 | $68 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Trump out as President by September 30?No | buy | 270.62 | $0.994 | $269 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on September 18?Yes | buy | 80.16 | $0.998 | $80 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 6?Up | buy | 236.17 | $0.940 | $222 | Aug 6, 2025 |
 Will the price of Solana be between $180 and $190 on August 6?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.999 | $111 | Aug 6, 2025 |
 Will another company be the largest in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 170.51 | $0.997 | $170 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 150–164 times June 27–July 4?No | buy | 165.98 | $0.964 | $160 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in June?No | buy | 167.07 | $0.994 | $166 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 144.58 | $0.996 | $144 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Will Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | buy | 311.31 | $0.999 | $311 | May 17, 2025 |
 Trump positive approval on May 1?No | buy | 21.08 | $0.996 | $21 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 Solana all time high in April?No | buy | 272.27 | $0.999 | $272 | Apr 21, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 28 - April 4?No | buy | 305.84 | $0.994 | $304 | Apr 4, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high by March 31?No | buy | 150.15 | $0.999 | $150 | Mar 27, 2025 |
 Base airdrop in Q1 2025?No | buy | 140.14 | $0.999 | $140 | Mar 27, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 151.36 | $0.991 | $150 | Jan 12, 2025 |