Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 31.27 | $0.510 | $15.96 | May 28, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 324.95 |
| $0.050 |
| $16.33 |
| May 28, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 324.95 | $0.400 | $129.98 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 94.19 | $0.425 | $40 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes | buy | 214.29 | $0.140 | $30 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 200.15 | $0.600 | $120 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 319.98 | $0.480 | $153.59 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 570 | $0.170 | $96.9 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 570 | $0.121 | $69.21 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will India join the Board of Peace?No | sell | 100 | $0.924 | $92.45 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will India join the Board of Peace?No | buy | 100 | $0.670 | $67 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.022 | $2.2 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 166.3 | $0.019 | $3.08 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.030 | $1.76 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 43.47 | $0.035 | $1.52 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.056 | $3.5 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 142.85 | $0.024 | $3.43 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.021 | $3.5 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?No | sell | 18.76 | $0.880 | $16.51 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.965 | $19.3 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.940 | $94 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 16.53 | $0.060 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 38.18 | $0.026 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 60.19 | $0.017 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 166.31 | $0.012 | $2 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.014 | $2 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.750 | $15 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | sell | 23.8 | $0.810 | $19.28 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.880 | $17.6 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.750 | $7.5 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?No | buy | 18.76 | $0.810 | $15.2 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.840 | $20 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 30 | $0.860 | $25.8 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 40 | $0.940 | $37.6 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will Atlas introduce ads by December 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.930 | $27.9 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionNo | sell | 2.43 | $0.410 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?No | buy | 40 | $0.340 | $13.6 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Nov 7, 2025 |