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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.42 | $0.969 | $0.41 | +$0 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 74 | $0.630 | $46.62 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 74 |
| $0.640 |
| $47.36 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes | sell | 27 | $0.110 | $2.97 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.100 | $3.9 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.893 | $8.93 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.892 | $8.92 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | sell | 54 | $0.860 | $46.44 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 54 | $0.840 | $45.36 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.026 | $0.57 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes | buy | 67 | $0.037 | $2.48 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 63 | $0.660 | $41.58 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 10 | $0.660 | $6.6 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.045 | $3.33 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.800 | $0.8 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 127 | $0.064 | $8.13 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.900 | $45 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.900 | $45 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 53 | $0.330 | $17.49 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.330 | $17.49 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 20.01 | $0.967 | $19.35 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 21 | $0.818 | $17.18 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 56 | $0.849 | $47.54 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.480 | $8.64 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.780 | $14.04 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.750 | $13.5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 34 | $0.983 | $33.42 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 59 | $0.670 | $39.53 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 14 | $0.740 | $10.36 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 14 | $0.750 | $10.5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.022 | $1.5 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.270 | $10.26 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 9?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.070 | $2.8 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 152 | $0.030 | $4.56 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 51 | $0.964 | $49.16 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 28.9 | $0.670 | $19.36 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 29 | $0.670 | $19.43 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 51 | $0.961 | $49.01 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 96 | $0.450 | $43.2 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 82 | $0.550 | $45.1 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 56 | $0.810 | $45.36 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 66 | $0.690 | $45.54 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 49 | $0.680 | $33.32 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 59 | $0.330 | $19.47 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 106 | $0.320 | $33.92 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 82 | $0.190 | $15.58 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 139 | $0.188 | $26.13 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.044 | $1.76 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 87 | $0.470 | $40.89 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 102 | $0.470 | $47.94 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 59 | $0.810 | $47.79 | Jun 2, 2026 |