Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 17.07 | $0.410 | $9.13 | +$2.13 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?No | buy | 10.14 | $0.690 | $7 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 10.14 |
| $0.690 |
| $7 |
| $0 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 6.08 | $0.780 | $5.63 | +$0.89 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? | No | 4.4 | $0.730 | $4.09 | +$0.88 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3.86 | $0.490 | $1.75 | -$0.14 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | 6 | $0.220 | $0.84 | -$0.48 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6 | $0.220 | $0.39 | -$0.93 |
| buy |
| 4.4 |
| $0.730 |
| $3.21 |
| 2d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.86 | $0.490 | $1.89 | 2d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 17.07 | $0.410 | $7 | 6d ago |
 Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?No | buy | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | 11d ago |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.17 | $0.240 | $7 | 15d ago |
 Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of August 24 2026?No | buy | 15.22 | $0.460 | $7 | 16d ago |
 Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?No | buy | 13.21 | $0.530 | $7 | 17d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No | buy | 10.23 | $0.685 | $7 | 17d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.280 | $7 | 17d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.67 | $0.221 | $7 | 18d ago |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in August?No | buy | 7.03 | $0.800 | $5.62 | 18d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Yes | buy | 29.17 | $0.240 | $7 | 19d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.17 | $0.249 | $7 | 19d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?No | buy | 11.29 | $0.620 | $7 | 20d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes | buy | 15.22 | $0.460 | $7 | 21d ago |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of August 17 2026?No | buy | 4.6 | $0.730 | $3.36 | 23d ago |
 Will La-Z-Boy (LZB) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 9.59 | $0.730 | $7 | 24d ago |
 Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?Yes | buy | 8.97 | $0.780 | $7 | 24d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.210 | $7 | 25d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No | buy | 8.75 | $0.800 | $7 | 25d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 26.92 | $0.260 | $7 | 26d ago |
 Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?No | buy | 21.21 | $0.330 | $7 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 8.97 | $0.780 | $7 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.560 | $7 | 27d ago |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in July?Yes | buy | 21.21 | $0.330 | $7 | 27d ago |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 13?Up | buy | 11.86 | $0.590 | $7 | 27d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.560 | $7 | 28d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No | buy | 11.67 | $0.600 | $7 | 28d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | buy | 9.21 | $0.760 | $7 | 28d ago |
 Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?Yes | buy | 26.92 | $0.260 | $7 | 29d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.770 | $7 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.17 | $0.240 | $7 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Yes | buy | 15.22 | $0.460 | $7 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?No | buy | 14.58 | $0.480 | $7 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.16 | $0.380 | $1.2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?Yes | buy | 15.91 | $0.440 | $7 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.17 | $0.240 | $7 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 25 | $0.280 | $7 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?No | buy | 9.21 | $0.760 | $7 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.73 | $0.550 | $7 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.490 | $7 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?Yes | buy | 15.91 | $0.440 | $7 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?Yes | buy | 19.44 | $0.360 | $7 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?Yes | buy | 13.73 | $0.510 | $7 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?Down | buy | 20.59 | $0.340 | $7 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of August 3 2026?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.540 | $2.35 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No | buy | 9.86 | $0.710 | $7 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?Yes | buy | 26.92 | $0.260 | $7 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | buy | 28 | $0.250 | $7 | Aug 4, 2026 |