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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Megaquake by August 31?No | buy | 64.69 | $0.900 | $58.22 | Jul 15, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 160.71 |
| $0.181 |
| $29.08 |
| Mar 27, 2025 |
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?Yes | sell | 31.69 | $0.618 | $19.59 | Jan 29, 2025 |
Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 9.57 | $0.997 | $9.54 | Jan 27, 2025 |
Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 9.58 | $0.993 | $9.51 | Jan 26, 2025 |
Will every president attend Trump’s inauguration?No | buy | 474.82 | $0.042 | $20 | Jan 16, 2025 |
Will every president attend Trump’s inauguration?No | buy | 277.78 | $0.090 | $25 | Jan 7, 2025 |
Will Waymo surpass Uber SF market share in 2025?Yes | buy | 160.71 | $0.280 | $45 | Jan 7, 2025 |
Yoon arrested by January 31?Yes | sell | 43.47 | $0.490 | $21.3 | Jan 7, 2025 |
Will Trudeau resign by Friday?Yes | sell | 49.39 | $0.998 | $49.29 | Jan 6, 2025 |
Will Trudeau resign by Friday?Yes | buy | 49.4 | $0.810 | $40 | Jan 6, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin hit $100k again by January 15?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.893 | $44.65 | Jan 6, 2025 |
MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.980 | $9.8 | Jan 6, 2025 |
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?Yes | buy | 31.69 | $0.631 | $20 | Jan 3, 2025 |
Yoon arrested by January 31?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.460 | $20 | Jan 3, 2025 |
MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | Jan 3, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin hit $100k again by January 15?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.800 | $40 | Jan 3, 2025 |
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?No | sell | 39.68 | $0.690 | $27.38 | Jan 3, 2025 |
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2024?Yes | buy | 22.93 | $0.992 | $22.75 | Dec 15, 2024 |
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?No | buy | 39.68 | $0.630 | $25 | Dec 15, 2024 |
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?Yes | buy | 139.01 | $0.440 | $61.16 | Nov 24, 2024 |
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon in 2024?No | buy | 52.19 | $0.958 | $50 | Nov 22, 2024 |
Will Dogecoin reach $0.45 before December?Yes | buy | 60.76 | $0.790 | $48 | Nov 22, 2024 |