Latest trade
Sep 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 6:02 AM UTC.
Analytics
baliorn is down $7.48K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-06-14 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 6:02 AM UTC.
$99.5 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 26 markets; 66.0% were buys. They run from Feb 18, 2026 UTC to Sep 20, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 1.86K | $0.200 | $84.59 | -$287.23 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?No | buy | 1.07K | $0.067 | $71.52 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-06-14 16:52 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 06:02 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 06:02 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-06-14 16:52 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $13.04K and losing ones cost $20.13K across the latest 50 settled positions. 64% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $6.66K on “Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?” (Yes); the largest loss, $18.47K on “US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 20 Sep 2026. It has traded 62 markets. Its open positions are worth $84.59 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.050 |
| $1 |
| Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETUp | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.65K | $0.113 | $300 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.86K | $0.200 | $371.82 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | sell | 454.59 | $0.681 | $309.78 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 454.59 | $0.660 | $300 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 21.25K | $0.017 | $360.73 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?No | sell | 2.48 | $0.530 | $1.31 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?No | buy | 2.48 | $0.750 | $1.86 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 2 | $0.930 | $1.86 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 7.96K | $0.900 | $7.17K | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 13.29K | $0.903 | $12K | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.014 | $1 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETDown | buy | 1.94 | $0.500 | $0.97 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETDown | buy | 1.94 | $0.500 | $0.97 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETDown | buy | 1.94 | $0.500 | $0.97 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETDown | buy | 1.94 | $0.500 | $0.97 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETDown | buy | 2.63 | $0.370 | $0.97 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETUp | buy | 19.98 | $0.050 | $1 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETDown | buy | 27.29 | $0.170 | $4.64 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETDown | buy | 4.04 | $0.170 | $0.69 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETDown | buy | 35.33 | $0.170 | $6.01 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.16K | $0.110 | $237.92 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 8.43K | $0.870 | $7.34K | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?No | sell | 11.75K | $0.987 | $11.6K | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?No | buy | 11.75K | $0.986 | $11.59K | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.090 | $99 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Yes | sell | 234.04 | $0.030 | $7.02 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.100 | $100 | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 54.55 | $0.110 | $6 | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?No | sell | 1.03K | $0.997 | $1.02K | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.470 | $10 | Feb 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Yes | buy | 212.77 | $0.470 | $100 | Feb 24, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 8.43K | $0.830 | $7K | Feb 24, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?No | buy | 1.03K | $0.973 | $1K | Feb 24, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?No | sell | 170.76 | $0.760 | $129.78 | Feb 21, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?No | buy | 170.76 | $0.710 | $121.24 | Feb 20, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | sell | 123.59 | $0.981 | $121.24 | Feb 20, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?No | sell | 105.15 | $0.999 | $105.04 | Feb 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | sell | 164.57 | $0.101 | $16.67 | Feb 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | sell | 1.26K | $0.101 | $126.87 | Feb 20, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.910 | $0.91 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?No | sell | 101.72 | $0.998 | $101.52 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?No | buy | 18.74K | $0.848 | $15.89K | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 123.6 | $0.890 | $110 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?No | buy | 101.73 | $0.983 | $100 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.