Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 10.82K | $0.260 | $2.81K | May 15, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.25K |
| $0.239 |
| $300 |
| May 2, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | sell | 8.33K | $0.999 | $8.32K | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 8.26K | $0.326 | $2.69K | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | sell | 2.78K | $0.970 | $2.69K | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.54K | $0.306 | $778.46 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 2.59K | $0.300 | $776.52 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | sell | 2 | $0.970 | $1.94 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 2.59K | $0.617 | $1.6K | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 6.21K | $0.257 | $1.6K | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.82K | $0.600 | $1.69K | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 846.64 | $0.591 | $500 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.54K | $0.590 | $1.5K | Apr 5, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 3.7K | $0.998 | $3.69K | Apr 5, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.7K | $0.706 | $2.62K | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.04K | $0.879 | $1.8K | Mar 29, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | sell | 269.86 | $0.017 | $4.59 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | sell | 2.2K | $0.370 | $814.12 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.04K | $0.919 | $1.88K | Mar 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 2.2K | $0.500 | $1.1K | Mar 25, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 4.38K | $0.680 | $2.98K | Mar 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 269.87 | $0.150 | $40.48 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | sell | 129.23 | $0.313 | $40.48 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.38K | $0.716 | $3.13K | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | buy | 129.23 | $0.774 | $100 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETUp | buy | 17.32 | $0.560 | $9.7 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | sell | 3.43K | $0.941 | $3.23K | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 11.11K | $0.880 | $9.77K | Mar 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | sell | 3.41K | $0.900 | $3.07K | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 3.43K | $0.875 | $3K | Mar 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 3.3K | $0.910 | $3K | Mar 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 114.94 | $0.870 | $100 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 3.07K | $0.068 | $209 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No | buy | 3.19K | $0.940 | $3K | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 5.24K | $0.480 | $2.52K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 4.58K | $0.546 | $2.5K | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.52K | $0.993 | $2.5K | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Milton make landfall as a category 4?Yes | buy | 1.31K | $0.358 | $469.8 | Oct 9, 2024 |
 Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?No | buy | 2.18K | $0.014 | $30 | Oct 3, 2024 |