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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.6 | $0.954 | $0.59 | +$0.02 |
 Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.490 | $3.92 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 0.4 |
| $0.022 |
| $0.01 |
| +$0 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.130 |
| $1.3 |
| Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.130 | $18.2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 66 | $0.870 | $57.42 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 15 | $0.400 | $6 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 50 | $0.410 | $20.5 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 14 | $0.400 | $5.6 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.250 | $13 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 66 | $0.887 | $58.54 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 74 | $0.037 | $2.74 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.037 | $2.74 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 47 | $0.013 | $0.61 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 42 | $0.989 | $41.54 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 62 | $0.870 | $53.94 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 72 | $0.170 | $12.24 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 65 | $0.938 | $60.97 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 65 | $0.937 | $60.91 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 92 | $0.137 | $12.6 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 92 | $0.146 | $13.43 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 109 | $0.520 | $56.68 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.450 | $3.6 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 63 | $0.440 | $27.72 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 87 | $0.560 | $48.72 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 86 | $0.090 | $7.74 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 76 | $0.090 | $6.84 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.045 | $4.05 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 51 | $0.954 | $48.65 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 55 | $0.986 | $54.23 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 55 | $0.985 | $54.18 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.977 | $48.85 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 51 | $0.957 | $48.81 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | sell | 63 | $0.210 | $13.23 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 63 | $0.210 | $13.23 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | sell | 52 | $0.951 | $49.45 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 50 | $0.988 | $49.4 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 50 | $0.988 | $49.4 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 35 | $0.984 | $34.44 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 56 | $0.958 | $53.65 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 55 | $0.976 | $53.68 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 55 | $0.975 | $53.63 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 54 | $0.226 | $12.2 | May 31, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 104 | $0.480 | $49.92 | May 31, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 56 | $0.969 | $54.26 | May 30, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 98 | $0.560 | $54.88 | May 30, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 51 | $0.963 | $49.11 | May 29, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 55 | $0.989 | $54.39 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | sell | 57 | $0.963 | $54.89 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | buy | 57 | $0.963 | $54.89 | May 27, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.36 | $0.430 | $8.75 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 49 | $0.982 | $48.12 | May 26, 2026 |