Latest trade
Jul 7, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 8:03 AM UTC.
Analytics
Occasional-Outset is down $4.59 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 11 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-04 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 7, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 8:03 AM UTC.
$1.2 median trade
Its latest 30 trades covered 14 markets; 53.3% were buys. They run from Jun 16, 2026 UTC to Jul 7, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?No | buy | 27.63 | $0.160 | $4.42 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-04 18:19 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 08:03 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
30 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 08:03 UTC
polymarket positions
13 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-04 18:19 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $7.98 and losing ones cost $0.39 across 11 settled positions. 72.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $3.15 on “GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $0.36 on “Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 7 Jul 2026. It has traded 14 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 4.92 |
| $0.930 |
| $4.58 |
| Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?No | buy | 14.81 | $0.320 | $4.74 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?No | sell | 5.45 | $0.900 | $4.91 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?No | buy | 6.15 | $0.270 | $1.66 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 1.89 | $0.910 | $1.72 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?No | buy | 5.45 | $0.310 | $1.69 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.54 | $0.976 | $1.5 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.29 | $0.080 | $0.18 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.908 | $1.4 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 4.92 | $0.650 | $3.2 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 3.37 | $0.952 | $3.21 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 0.59 | $0.936 | $0.55 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.87 | $0.270 | $0.5 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 3.4 | $0.780 | $2.65 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | sell | 2.85 | $0.920 | $2.62 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 0.08 | $0.963 | $0.08 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No | sell | 2.94 | $0.330 | $0.97 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 1.2 | $0.840 | $1.01 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 0.41 | $0.934 | $0.38 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 1.9 | $0.790 | $1.5 | Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No | sell | 2.04 | $0.770 | $1.57 | Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.924 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.