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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.91 | $0.040 | $0.02 | -$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 32 | $0.967 | $30.94 | May 26, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 21 |
| $0.909 |
| $19.09 |
| May 26, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 39 | $0.913 | $35.61 | May 26, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 60 | $0.590 | $35.4 | May 26, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 60 | $0.580 | $34.8 | May 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.490 | $19.6 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 37 | $0.952 | $35.22 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 37 | $0.952 | $35.22 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.040 | $0.92 | May 25, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 24 | $0.964 | $23.14 | May 23, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 8 | $0.964 | $7.71 | May 23, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 32 | $0.962 | $30.78 | May 23, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 72 | $0.170 | $12.24 | May 23, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 52.89 | $0.440 | $23.27 | May 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 81 | $0.460 | $37.26 | May 21, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 53 | $0.700 | $37.1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 53 | $0.700 | $37.1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 39 | $0.860 | $33.54 | May 20, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 39 | $0.932 | $36.35 | May 19, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 39 | $0.931 | $36.31 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.965 | $1.79 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 National League Championship?No | sell | 13 | $0.979 | $12.73 | May 25, 2025 |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 National League Championship?No | buy | 13 | $0.978 | $12.71 | May 25, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?No | buy | 1.74 | $0.979 | $1.7 | May 24, 2025 |
 Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference?No | sell | 17 | $0.787 | $13.38 | May 10, 2025 |
 Italian small businesses – dismissals and related compensation referendumNo | sell | 14 | $0.970 | $13.58 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope?Yes | sell | 89 | $0.011 | $0.98 | May 8, 2025 |
| Italian small businesses – dismissals and related compensation referendumNo | buy | 14 | $0.966 | $13.52 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will the candidate from the New Reform Party win the South Korean Presidential ElectionNo | sell | 14 | $0.986 | $13.8 | May 8, 2025 |
| Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope?Yes | buy | 89 | $0.019 | $1.69 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?Yes | buy | 111 | $0.051 | $5.66 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?No | buy | 25 | $0.671 | $16.78 | Apr 3, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $110 in March?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.070 | $1.82 | Mar 29, 2025 |
| Will Solana dip to $110 in March?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.067 | $1.74 | Mar 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be between 46.5% and 46.9% on March 28?No | buy | 17 | $0.975 | $16.58 | Mar 28, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced before April?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.019 | $0.53 | Mar 28, 2025 |
 Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No | sell | 18 | $0.969 | $17.44 | Mar 27, 2025 |
| Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No | buy | 18 | $0.972 | $17.5 | Mar 26, 2025 |
 Will Ken Paxton be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | sell | 61 | $0.007 | $0.43 | Mar 26, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 55°F or below on March 27?No | buy | 16 | $0.991 | $15.86 | Mar 26, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 14-21?No | buy | 17 | $0.942 | $16.01 | Mar 19, 2025 |
 Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No | sell | 16 | $0.998 | $15.97 | Mar 19, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Friday?No | buy | 16 | $0.996 | $15.94 | Mar 7, 2025 |