Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 195.55 | $0.260 | $50.84 | May 4, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 27 |
| $0.987 |
| $26.65 |
| Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during King Charles visit?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.590 | $29.52 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Christian" during King Charles visit?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.340 | $17 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during King Charles visit?Yes | buy | 59 | $0.280 | $16.52 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Muslim" during King Charles visit?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.110 | $11 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.320 | $16 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.78 | $0.340 | $2.99 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Epstein client list released by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.089 | $8.9 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Epstein client list released by June 30?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.096 | $2.88 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Epstein client list released by June 30?Yes | buy | 88.93 | $0.290 | $25.79 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.959 | $47.95 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 65 | $0.439 | $28.54 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 30 | $0.437 | $13.12 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 50 | $0.402 | $20.1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 54.48 | $0.760 | $41.4 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.180 | $18 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.310 | $15.5 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.450 | $22.5 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "NATO" during Monday news conference?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.660 | $19.8 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 122.22 | $0.140 | $17.11 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?Yes | buy | 99.73 | $0.251 | $25 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | sell | 49.99 | $0.490 | $24.5 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 145 | $0.400 | $58 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.400 | $40 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.430 | $43 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 122.22 | $0.272 | $33.27 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.450 | $20 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.230 | $23 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.640 | $64 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.530 | $26.5 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes | sell | 123.37 | $0.180 | $22.21 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes | sell | 123.36 | $0.210 | $25.91 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | sell | 201.01 | $0.790 | $158.8 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.150 | $19.5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.150 | $6 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?No | buy | 18.03 | $0.610 | $11 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 130 | $0.160 | $20.8 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.470 | $25.85 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | buy | 402 | $0.129 | $51.86 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?Yes | buy | 298.3 | $0.003 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?Yes | buy | 124.12 | $0.040 | $5 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.398 | $22.11 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.810 | $45 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | sell | 59.38 | $0.760 | $45.13 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?Yes | buy | 206.9 | $0.290 | $60 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 98.36 | $0.606 | $59.56 | Mar 3, 2026 |