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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? | No | 20.83 | $0.720 | $18.85 | +$3.85 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 0.48 | $0.600 | $0.29 | Jul 17, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 24.07 |
| $0.620 |
| $17.93 |
| +$3.01 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 517.24 | $0.029 | $17.84 | +$2.85 |
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | Yes | 19.23 | $0.780 | $16.63 | +$1.63 |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 18.07 | $0.830 | $15.63 | +$0.63 |
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | Yes | 16.85 | $0.890 | $14.57 | -$0.43 |
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 13.16 | $0.760 | $8.49 | -$1.51 |
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | Yes | 22.25 | $0.660 | $4.89 | -$9.79 |
| buy |
| 22.73 |
| $0.660 |
| $15 |
| Jul 8, 2026 |
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.780 | $15 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.560 | $0.01 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.720 | $15 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 0.07 | $0.590 | $0.04 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 18.07 | $0.830 | $15 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 0.04 | $0.590 | $0.02 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Yes | buy | 16.85 | $0.890 | $15 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 24.19 | $0.620 | $15 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 17.05 | $0.880 | $15 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 517.24 | $0.029 | $15 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | sell | 0.85 | $0.770 | $0.65 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | sell | 1.76 | $0.770 | $1.36 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 19.48 | $0.770 | $15 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | sell | 108.69 | $0.999 | $108.58 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?No | sell | 13.77 | $0.542 | $7.46 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?No | buy | 13.77 | $0.726 | $10 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 12.25 | $0.816 | $10 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.092 | $10 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?No | buy | 44.44 | $0.225 | $10 | Jun 4, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.34 | $0.370 | $0.13 | Jun 4, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.36 | $0.370 | $0.13 | Jun 4, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.1 | $0.370 | $0.04 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?No | buy | 13.59 | $0.736 | $10 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?No | buy | 13.55 | $0.738 | $10 | Jun 4, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.130 | $8.67 | Jun 3, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.28 | $0.360 | $5.86 | Jun 3, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Jun 3, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 184.1 | $0.053 | $9.81 | Jun 3, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.19 | $0.055 | $0.23 | Jun 3, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.32 | $0.055 | $0.07 | Jun 3, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.69 | $0.053 | $0.14 | Jun 3, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 23.07 | $0.140 | $3.23 | Jun 3, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 256.41 | $0.039 | $10 | Jun 3, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | sell | 21.16 | $0.480 | $10.16 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.430 | $10 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | sell | 40 | $0.230 | $9.2 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Jun 3, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.27 | $0.655 | $10 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | sell | 158.73 | $0.065 | $10.32 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 158.73 | $0.063 | $10 | Jun 2, 2026 |