Latest trade
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 12:40 PM UTC.
Analytics
tmckay is down $11.79 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 12:40 PM UTC.
$16.83 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 42 markets; 96.0% were buys. They run from Apr 10, 2025 UTC to Oct 23, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Lionel Messi finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 18.63 | $0.720 | $11.83 | -$1.58 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lionel Messi finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 18.63 | $0.720 | $13.41 | 1d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-16 14:15 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 12:40 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 12:40 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-16 14:15 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $155 and losing ones cost $167.16 across the latest 50 settled positions. 82% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $39.1 on “Will Real Madrid win La Liga?” (No); the largest loss, $36.45 on “Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 23 Oct 2026. It has traded 85 markets. Its open positions are worth $11.83 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 17.58 |
| $0.750 |
| $13.18 |
| 10d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 14?No | buy | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | 10d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 14?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.750 | $1.79 | 10d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 14?No | buy | 8.02 | $0.750 | $6.02 | 10d ago |
 Vikings vs. SaintsVikings | buy | 25.05 | $0.550 | $13.78 | 16d ago |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?No | buy | 10 | $0.785 | $7.85 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?Yes | buy | 20.87 | $0.860 | $17.95 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?No | buy | 49.92 | $0.730 | $36.44 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Chainlink hit $15 in January?No | buy | 24.78 | $0.999 | $24.76 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?No | buy | 21.18 | $0.999 | $21.16 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
 Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?No | buy | 13.57 | $0.999 | $13.56 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of January?No | buy | 50.46 | $0.997 | $50.31 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 14.91 | $0.999 | $14.9 | Dec 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 14.7 | $0.999 | $14.69 | Dec 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 23.19 | $0.997 | $23.12 | Dec 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 62.2 | $0.999 | $62.14 | Dec 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?No | buy | 26.73 | $0.999 | $26.7 | Oct 31, 2025 UTC |
 Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 28.08 | $0.999 | $28.05 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
 Dogecoin all time high before 2026?No | sell | 20.64 | $0.820 | $16.92 | Oct 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will XRP reach $4.50 in September?No | buy | 17.54 | $0.999 | $17.52 | Sep 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in September?No | buy | 19.03 | $0.999 | $19.01 | Sep 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao by September 30?No | buy | 16.82 | $0.995 | $16.74 | Sep 29, 2025 UTC |
| Dogecoin all time high before 2026?No | buy | 20.64 | $0.884 | $18.25 | Sep 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 19.07 | $0.999 | $19.05 | Sep 28, 2025 UTC |
 Will Meta have the second best AI model on September 30?No | buy | 18.65 | $0.999 | $18.63 | Sep 28, 2025 UTC |
 Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No | buy | 13.49 | $0.999 | $13.48 | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by August 31?No | buy | 16.35 | $0.998 | $16.32 | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
| Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No | buy | 15.02 | $0.998 | $14.99 | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
| Will XRP dip to $2.30 in August?No | buy | 10.63 | $0.999 | $10.62 | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
| Will XRP dip to $2.30 in August?No | buy | 12.48 | $0.999 | $12.47 | Aug 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will XRP reach $3.60 in August?No | buy | 18.54 | $0.999 | $18.52 | Aug 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No | buy | 12.06 | $0.998 | $12.04 | Aug 30, 2025 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 13.37 | $0.999 | $13.36 | Aug 30, 2025 UTC |
 Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as Prime Minister of Thailand in July?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.993 | $29.2 | Jul 28, 2025 UTC |
 Pam Bondi out as Attorney General in July?No | buy | 40.18 | $0.996 | $40.02 | Jul 28, 2025 UTC |
 Will NVDA purchase Bitcoin before July?No | buy | 15.52 | $0.999 | $15.5 | Jun 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 18.84 | $0.999 | $18.82 | Jun 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will the next government of Suriname be NDP/VHP/NPS?No | buy | 21.96 | $0.998 | $21.92 | Jun 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 5.04K | $0.997 | $5.02K | Jun 19, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 5.04K | $0.998 | $5.03K | Jun 17, 2025 UTC |
 Will Solana dip to $100 in May?No | buy | 78.82 | $0.998 | $78.66 | May 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will Solana dip to $80 in May?No | buy | 59.06 | $0.999 | $59 | May 27, 2025 UTC |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on April 30?No | buy | 14.67 | $0.998 | $14.64 | Apr 20, 2025 UTC |
 Will NDP win 31 or more seats in the next Canadian Election?No | buy | 15.91 | $0.998 | $15.88 | Apr 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Green Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No | buy | 10.68 | $0.999 | $10.67 | Apr 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will the People's party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No | buy | 13.72 | $0.999 | $13.71 | Apr 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in Saskatchewan in the next Canadian Election?No | buy | 11.78 | $0.997 | $11.74 | Apr 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will Elon tweet 240-249 times April 4 - 11?No | buy | 15.79 | $0.991 | $15.65 | Apr 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon tweet 325-349 times April 4 - 11?No | buy | 17.88 | $0.999 | $17.86 | Apr 10, 2025 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.