Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 8% on 3 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 29 daily closes on record from 3 Sep 2025 to 1 Oct 2025, the highest close was 20.5% on 17 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 20.5% on 17 Sep 2025. $136.86K traded over the market's life.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 8:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 3 Sep 2025 – 1 Oct 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Sep 2025 | 8.0% |
| 1 Oct 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Just4Fun-168 | Yes | 31.17K |
| H.P.Lovecraft | Yes | 10.69K |
| egemen | Yes | 7.5K |
| ebe-40CB | Yes | 3.77K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Changpeng Zhao receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-pardon-changpeng-zhao-by-september-30
| NeverEverBettingOnSportsAgain | Yes | 956 |
| DEGENKHAN | Yes | 318.01 |
| ccboss777 | Yes | 275.37 |
| Lenrager | Yes | 270.53 |
| 100xleverage | Yes | 200 |
| Prkwidjwjjenebs20384883 | Yes | 174.37 |
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