Analytics
SlenderMan is down $214.86K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-30 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 133.63K | $0.858 | $130.49K | +$15.77K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-30 09:12 UTC
Polymarket public position response
19 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 02:54 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 02:54 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-30 09:12 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $699.57K and losing ones cost $1.14M across the latest 50 settled positions. 52% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $181.44K on “No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?” (Yes); the largest loss, $149.44K on “US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?” (No).
It has traded 455 markets. Its open positions are worth $406.72K across 19 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 129.6K |
| $0.834 |
| $104.98K |
| -$3.09K |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 94.24K | $0.682 | $74.92K | +$10.62K |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 37.66K | $0.833 | $32.58K | +$1.21K |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 17.28K | $0.469 | $15.03K | +$6.92K |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 13.51K | $0.801 | $11.01K | +$185.19 |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | No | 11.78K | $0.841 | $10.54K | +$630.4 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | Yes | 7.03K | $0.898 | $6.48K | +$170.01 |
 Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | No | 6.42K | $0.707 | $5.72K | +$1.18K |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 4.65K | $0.961 | $4.6K | +$137.04 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? | No | 5K | $0.880 | $4.4K | $0 |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.19K | $0.754 | $3.65K | +$486.48 |
 Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.32K | $0.460 | $1.09K | +$486.98 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 626.62 | $0.500 | $516.96 | +$203.65 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? | No | 307.27 | $0.920 | $290.37 | +$7.68 |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 417.18 | $0.700 | $289.94 | -$2.09 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? | No | 106.95 | $0.930 | $105.62 | +$6.15 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2027? | No | 31.88 | $0.680 | $23.59 | +$1.91 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 0.14 | $0.781 | $0.13 | +$0.03 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
