Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 105.45K | $0.920 | $97.54K | +$523.12 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 329.27 | $0.998 | $328.61 | 8d ago |
|
| No |
| 100K |
| $0.835 |
| $85.5K |
| +$2K |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 94.35K | $0.682 | $69.35K | +$4.97K |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 59.94K | $0.907 | $59.01K | +$4.63K |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 37K | $0.833 | $32.37K | +$1.57K |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 30K | $0.740 | $23.25K | +$1.05K |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 15.44K | $0.721 | $14.13K | +$3K |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 17.28K | $0.469 | $9.93K | +$1.83K |
 Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | No | 6.42K | $0.707 | $4.4K | -$141.56 |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | No | 4.81K | $0.713 | $4.35K | +$922.97 |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.19K | $0.754 | $3.33K | +$172.02 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | Yes | 3.13K | $0.860 | $2.9K | +$203.57 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 4.2K | $0.639 | $2.77K | +$86.12 |
 Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.32K | $0.460 | $519.88 | -$85.55 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 626.62 | $0.500 | $485.63 | +$172.32 |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 417.18 | $0.700 | $214.85 | -$77.18 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 0.21 | $0.876 | $0.21 | +$0.02 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 0.14 | $0.781 | $0.13 | +$0.02 |
| buy |
| 300 |
| $0.994 |
| $298.2 |
| 8d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 110 | $0.992 | $109.12 | 8d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.992 | $198.4 | 9d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.48K | $0.970 | $20.83K | 13d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 454 | $0.880 | $399.52 | 14d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 39K | $0.880 | $34.32K | 14d ago |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Yes | buy | 274.9 | $0.999 | $274.63 | 20d ago |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.96K | $0.999 | $24.93K | 20d ago |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.998 | $1.29K | 20d ago |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.38K | $0.996 | $1.38K | 20d ago |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes | buy | 2.53K | $0.998 | $2.53K | 20d ago |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.23K | $0.660 | $811.97 | 20d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 535.56 | $0.988 | $529.13 | 24d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 10.95K | $0.994 | $10.88K | 25d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 37.12K | $0.993 | $36.86K | 25d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 17.33K | $0.992 | $17.19K | 25d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 21.92K | $0.950 | $20.82K | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 4.29K | $0.985 | $4.22K | Aug 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 1.81K | $0.280 | $506.93 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 37.42 | $0.997 | $37.31 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | sell | 1.78K | $0.113 | $201.65 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | sell | 1.76K | $0.605 | $1.07K | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | buy | 982.9 | $0.509 | $500.3 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | buy | 15.94 | $0.504 | $8.03 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | buy | 13.97 | $0.504 | $7.04 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | buy | 560.3 | $0.507 | $284.07 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | buy | 1.65K | $0.510 | $843.67 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?No | buy | 598.44 | $0.952 | $569.71 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 5.79K | $0.910 | $5.27K | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | sell | 13.28K | $0.983 | $13.06K | Jul 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 4.96K | $0.860 | $4.26K | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | buy | 9.46 | $0.960 | $9.08 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?No | buy | 15.94K | $0.985 | $15.7K | Jul 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 3.03K | $0.850 | $2.58K | Jul 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 867.54 | $0.840 | $728.73 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?No | buy | 5.6K | $0.983 | $5.51K | Jul 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?No | sell | 2.01K | $0.956 | $1.92K | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?No | buy | 1.22K | $0.770 | $937.86 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?No | buy | 5.03K | $0.760 | $3.82K | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?No | buy | 800 | $0.760 | $608 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | sell | 50.01 | $0.720 | $36.01 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | buy | 30.25 | $0.680 | $20.57 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | buy | 23.81K | $0.972 | $23.14K | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?No | buy | 4.76K | $0.933 | $4.44K | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | buy | 35.26 | $0.740 | $26.09 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?Yes | buy | 3.07 | $0.050 | $0.15 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?No | buy | 101 | $0.900 | $90.9 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?No | buy | 5.79K | $0.996 | $5.77K | Jul 10, 2026 |