Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?No | buy | 147.4 | $0.670 | $98.76 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.23K |
| $0.054 |
| $66.6 |
| Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.820 | $41 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 430.68 | $0.250 | $107.51 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 322.16 | $0.410 | $132.2 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 125.45 | $0.275 | $34.5 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.690 | $34.5 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 108.2 | $0.444 | $48.04 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes | sell | 65.69 | $0.731 | $48.03 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Middle East" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 28.05 | $0.850 | $23.84 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 411.09 | $0.058 | $23.84 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Middle East" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 74.01 | $0.850 | $62.91 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes | sell | 21.89 | $0.740 | $16.2 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes | sell | 29.19 | $0.739 | $21.58 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 92.4 | $0.272 | $25.13 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Middle East" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 37.4 | $0.850 | $31.79 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 548.12 | $0.058 | $31.79 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 150.9 | $0.444 | $67 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 218.8 | $0.275 | $60.17 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 2.19K | $0.058 | $127.17 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 51.8 | $0.444 | $23 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 127.35 | $0.275 | $35.02 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.058 | $58.02 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 51.49 | $0.275 | $14.16 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 79.15 | $0.034 | $2.69 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 316.63 | $0.034 | $10.63 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 11.26 | $0.444 | $5 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 162.86 | $0.035 | $5.7 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.057 | $5.7 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 105.17 | $0.034 | $3.6 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 240.57 | $0.035 | $8.42 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 128.44 | $0.057 | $7.32 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes | buy | 121.78 | $0.739 | $90 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.033 | $1.49 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 79.67 | $0.030 | $2.39 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.680 | $68 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 2.26K | $0.012 | $27.06 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.690 | $138 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 2.26K | $0.016 | $35.68 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 5.71K | $0.062 | $351.81 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?Yes | sell | 89.94 | $0.999 | $89.85 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?Yes | buy | 89.94 | $0.890 | $80.05 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 No Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX?Yes | buy | 95.95 | $0.036 | $3.5 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?Yes | sell | 34.64 | $0.970 | $33.6 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?Yes | buy | 34.64 | $0.592 | $20.5 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 32.29 | $0.350 | $11.3 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will TreVeyon Henderson be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?Yes | sell | 563.86 | $0.009 | $5.33 | Jan 5, 2026 |