Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.99K | $0.001 | $2.99 | Mar 18, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 3K |
| $0.001 |
| $3 |
| Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.41K | $0.002 | $4.81 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.33K | $0.003 | $10 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 462.5 | $0.004 | $1.85 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.010 | $12 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.62K | $0.001 | $1.62 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.005 | $5 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.012 | $12 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.016 | $4 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 311.11 | $0.045 | $14 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 775 | $0.002 | $1.55 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 466.85 | $0.026 | $12 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 421.69 | $0.083 | $35 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 993.71 | $0.020 | $19.72 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.015 | $15.69 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 703.33 | $0.003 | $2.11 | Jun 2, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.005 | $3 | Jun 2, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.035 | $14 | Jun 2, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.34K | $0.002 | $4.68 | May 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.003 | $5 | May 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.010 | $10 | May 3, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.62K | $0.001 | $1.62 | Mar 19, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Mar 19, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.002 | $6 | Mar 19, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.75K | $0.008 | $14 | Mar 19, 2025 |
 Gold missing from Fort Knox?Yes | sell | 347 | $0.150 | $52.05 | Feb 19, 2025 |
| Gold missing from Fort Knox?Yes | buy | 575.28 | $0.180 | $103.55 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.97K | $0.001 | $6.97 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 6K | $0.001 | $6 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.39K | $0.016 | $22.2 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.29K | $0.007 | $9 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.69K | $0.001 | $2.69 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 7K | $0.001 | $7 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.016 | $20 | Jan 29, 2025 |