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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Baidu be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.130 | $2.6 | 22d ago |
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?No| sell |
| 22.03 |
| $0.470 |
| $10.35 |
| 25d ago |
 Will Tropical Storm Lala make landfall in Hawaii as a hurricane?No | sell | 14.92 | $0.670 | $10 | 25d ago |
 Will The Odyssey win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?No | sell | 25 | $0.450 | $11.25 | 25d ago |
 Will Denny Tamaki win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election?No | sell | 25 | $0.320 | $8 | 26d ago |
 Will Mark Andrews have 6.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No | sell | 25 | $0.620 | $15.5 | 26d ago |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?No | sell | 25 | $0.480 | $12 | 26d ago |
 Will Saquon Barkley have 11.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No | sell | 20.2 | $0.700 | $14.14 | 26d ago |
 Will Fresno State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.300 | $7.5 | 27d ago |
 Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in July?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | 28d ago |
 Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?No | sell | 25 | $0.350 | $8.75 | 28d ago |
 Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in August 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.360 | $9 | 28d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $800B and $900B at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 25 | $0.490 | $12.25 | 29d ago |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.25 and $2.50 on August 31, 2026?No | sell | 25 | $0.630 | $15.75 | 29d ago |
 Will Merritt Wever – “The Gilded Age” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.092 | $2.3 | 29d ago |
 Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?No | sell | 11 | $0.120 | $1.32 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Tom Dyas win the 2026 Kelowna mayoral election?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.510 | $12.75 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.700 | $0.7 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?No | sell | 25 | $0.600 | $15 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 2.1% and 2.3%?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.450 | $11.25 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on August 10?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.386 | $9.65 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 9?No | sell | 25 | $0.334 | $8.36 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 19?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.150 | $3.75 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 9?Yes | sell | 16.32 | $0.460 | $7.51 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 9?Yes | sell | 17.1 | $0.169 | $2.89 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 9?Yes | sell | 10.19 | $0.418 | $4.26 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 21?Yes | sell | 16.96 | $0.320 | $5.43 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 5.02 | $0.238 | $1.19 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 5.02 | $0.239 | $1.2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 5.02 | $0.238 | $1.19 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 5.02 | $0.239 | $1.2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.020 | $0.46 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on August 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.13 | $0.160 | $0.66 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.150 | $3.3 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 3.8 | $0.150 | $0.57 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Axis launch a token by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.190 | $3.8 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.180 | $3.96 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?No | sell | 21 | $0.170 | $3.57 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 80% or higher?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.100 | $2.3 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.080 | $1.84 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.020 | $0.48 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 23.72 | $0.130 | $3.08 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes | sell | 5.65 | $0.140 | $0.79 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 142 | $0.080 | $11.36 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Brandon Dukes win the special election to fill the Pennsylvania House of Representatives District 12 seat?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.120 | $6.6 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model not be released by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 28 | $0.181 | $5.07 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Brandon Dukes win the special election to fill the Pennsylvania House of Representatives District 12 seat?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.130 | $3.9 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 36.4 | $0.220 | $8.01 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.240 | $0.72 | Jul 23, 2026 |