Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes | sell | 10.25 | $0.974 | $9.98 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 5.43 |
| $0.966 |
| $5.25 |
| Jul 2, 2026 |
 Peru Presidential Election Invalidated?No | sell | 5.15 | $0.980 | $5.05 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 21.73 | $0.160 | $3.48 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Yes | sell | 18.18 | $0.090 | $1.64 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?Yes | sell | 5.1 | $0.999 | $5.09 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on July 2?Yes | buy | 104.17 | $0.960 | $100 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 5.1 | $0.999 | $5.09 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?Yes | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes | buy | 10.26 | $0.975 | $10 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?Yes | buy | 10.55 | $0.948 | $10 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?Yes | buy | 10.26 | $0.975 | $10 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 10.26 | $0.975 | $10 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Up | buy | 10.21 | $0.979 | $10 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.26 | $0.999 | $7.25 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 7.77 | $0.999 | $7.76 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 15.4 | $0.999 | $15.38 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 143.54 | $0.424 | $60.86 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 15.4 | $0.974 | $15 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.07 | $0.998 | $5.06 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.59 | $0.998 | $10.57 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.26 | $0.964 | $7 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.190 | $7.31 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.59 | $0.963 | $10.2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.27 | $0.958 | $9.84 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 17.45 | $0.974 | $17 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes | buy | 12.27 | $0.978 | $12 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Yes | sell | 11.36 | $0.998 | $11.34 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 7.78 | $0.900 | $7 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 12.8 | $0.550 | $7.04 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.14 | $0.972 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 9.34 | $0.710 | $6.63 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 5.34 | $0.937 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Peru Presidential Election Invalidated?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.07 | $0.986 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 5.19 | $0.964 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?Yes | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by July 31?Yes | buy | 5.04 | $0.992 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 12.81 | $0.390 | $5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?No | sell | 288.33 | $0.203 | $58.6 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No | sell | 14.28 | $0.900 | $12.85 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Yes | sell | 23.52 | $0.962 | $22.63 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 4?Yes | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on June 4?Yes | sell | 13.57 | $0.140 | $1.9 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on June 4?Yes | buy | 13.58 | $0.147 | $2 | Jun 4, 2026 |