Latest trade
May 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 6:23 PM UTC.
Analytics
icdp is down $532.61 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 12 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-06-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
May 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 6:23 PM UTC.
$50 median trade
Its latest 17 trades covered 13 markets; 82.4% were buys. They run from Apr 8, 2026 UTC to May 20, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Yes | buy | 2.01K | $0.070 | $140.36 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-06-01 10:54 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-20 18:23 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
17 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-20 18:23 UTC
polymarket positions
13 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-06-01 10:54 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $107.04 and losing ones cost $499.29 across 12 settled positions. 58.3% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $61.63 on “Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $300 on “Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 20 May 2026. It has traded 13 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 1.72K |
| $0.082 |
| $140.36 |
| May 20, 2026 UTC |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?Yes | buy | 1.41K | $0.148 | $207.9 | May 13, 2026 UTC |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?Yes | buy | 309.41 | $0.161 | $49.95 | May 13, 2026 UTC |
 Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.33 | $0.570 | $4.18 | Apr 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?Yes | sell | 5.98 | $0.710 | $4.25 | Apr 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?Yes | buy | 5.89 | $0.700 | $4.12 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?Yes | buy | 143.98 | $0.210 | $30.24 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?No | buy | 4.24 | $0.573 | $2.43 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?No | buy | 2.43 | $0.980 | $2.38 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.827 | $1.97 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?Yes | buy | 437.35 | $0.686 | $300 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Karoline Leavitt be less than 15 minutes late to the next press briefing?Yes | buy | 73.94 | $0.676 | $50 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 221.43 | $0.999 | $221.21 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 130.77 | $0.848 | $110.89 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 221.44 | $0.908 | $201.11 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 312 | $0.802 | $250.37 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.