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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.44 | $0.963 | $0.43 | +$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 30.64 | $0.870 | $26.66 | Jun 25, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 82 |
| $0.130 |
| $10.66 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 82 | $0.130 | $10.66 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.230 | $5.75 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 53 | $0.972 | $51.52 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 53 | $0.972 | $51.52 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?No | sell | 50 | $0.930 | $46.5 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?No | buy | 50 | $0.930 | $46.5 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes | sell | 77 | $0.070 | $5.39 | Jun 22, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 71 | $0.650 | $46.15 | May 27, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 63 | $0.700 | $44.1 | May 26, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 32 | $0.278 | $8.9 | May 25, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.223 | $33.4 | May 25, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.300 | $2.4 | May 23, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 76 | $0.300 | $22.8 | May 23, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.041 | $1.06 | May 21, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.040 | $0.76 | May 21, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 10 | $0.961 | $9.61 | May 21, 2026 |
Will Bertie Ahern win the Irish Presidential Election?No | sell | 7 | $0.996 | $6.97 | Sep 9, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 3 | $0.909 | $2.73 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?No | buy | 54 | $0.990 | $53.46 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 62 | $0.950 | $58.9 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.885 | $8.85 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.886 | $8.86 | Aug 14, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $6500 in August?No | buy | 9 | $0.964 | $8.68 | Aug 14, 2025 |
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 9 | $0.974 | $8.77 | Aug 14, 2025 |
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 9 | $0.974 | $8.77 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Qatar, Saudi Arabia, or UAE?No | buy | 9 | $0.988 | $8.89 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 98 | $0.022 | $2.16 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.022 | $0.22 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?Yes | sell | 34 | $0.943 | $32.06 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 46 | $0.022 | $1.01 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?Yes | buy | 59 | $0.954 | $56.29 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 163 | $0.022 | $3.59 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 61 | $0.992 | $60.51 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Will Ethereum dip to $2400 in August?No | buy | 6 | $0.994 | $5.96 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 61 | $0.992 | $60.51 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 17 | $0.196 | $3.34 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 81 | $0.196 | $15.88 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 63 | $0.806 | $50.78 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 34 | $0.898 | $30.53 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 12 | $0.958 | $11.5 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00–1.04ºC in July 2025?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.987 | $11.84 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will Nuno Mendes win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 6 | $0.993 | $5.96 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00–1.04ºC in July 2025?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.991 | $11.89 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 11 | $0.939 | $10.33 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 41 | $0.057 | $2.34 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 11 | $0.939 | $10.33 | Aug 6, 2025 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.057 | $0.74 | Aug 6, 2025 |
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 67 | $0.049 | $3.28 | Aug 6, 2025 |