Analytics
Profile detail last fetched 59m ago. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | No | 13.18 | $0.986 | $13.13 | +$0.13 |
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 6.86 | $0.490 | $3.36 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Yes |
| 3.23 |
| $0.620 |
| $2.66 |
| +$0.66 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes| sell |
| 28.31 |
| $0.210 |
| $5.95 |
| Jul 28, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 13.18 | $0.986 | $13 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 17.44 | $0.860 | $15 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 3.51 | $0.570 | $2 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 3.51 | $0.570 | $2 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.650 | $2.5 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 4.94 | $0.405 | $2 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 15?Yes | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 15?Yes | buy | 3.44 | $0.610 | $2.1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on July 1?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will England win on 2026-07-01?Yes | buy | 3.9 | $0.770 | $3 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.570 | $2.28 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.950 | $2.5 | May 21, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 10.15 | $0.985 | $10 | May 21, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.48 | $0.978 | $3.4 | May 21, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 15.43 | $0.985 | $15.2 | May 21, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 4.49 | $0.920 | $4.13 | May 21, 2026 |
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2 | Apr 22, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 4.49 | $0.890 | $4 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No | buy | 5.18 | $0.966 | $5 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?No | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Mar 24, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 6.87 | $0.670 | $4.6 | Mar 24, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Mar 24, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 5.11 | $0.940 | $4.8 | Mar 24, 2026 |
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 3.62 | $0.690 | $2.5 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.600 | $2.4 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 5.16 | $0.678 | $3.5 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.750 | $3 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 8.78 | $0.490 | $4.3 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 3.25 | $0.768 | $2.5 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 3.53 | $0.963 | $3.4 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 5.58 | $0.770 | $4.3 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Nuggets vs. SunsNuggets | buy | 4.69 | $0.640 | $3 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Raptors vs. HornetsRaptors | buy | 4.61 | $0.760 | $3.5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.983 | $1.2 | Nov 29, 2025 |