Latest trade
Aug 4, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 1:12 PM UTC.
Analytics
Probable-Leather is down $3.01K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-04 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Aug 4, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 1:12 PM UTC.
$4.86 median trade
Its latest 40 trades covered 25 markets; 92.5% were buys. They run from Jan 16, 2026 UTC to Aug 4, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.945 | $4.73 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-04 08:47 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 13:12 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
40 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 13:12 UTC
polymarket positions
15 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-04 08:47 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
100% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $13 on “KHL: Lada Togliatti vs. Torpedo” (Lada Togliatti).
Its most recent trade on record was on 4 Aug 2026. It has traded 25 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 10 |
| $0.740 |
| $7.4 |
| Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
 Thunder vs. LakersLakers | buy | 10 | $0.190 | $1.9 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 2.18 | $0.981 | $2.14 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
| Raptors vs. CavaliersRaptors | buy | 7 | $0.280 | $1.96 | May 2, 2026 UTC |
 Flyers vs. PenguinsFlyers | buy | 9.67 | $0.450 | $4.35 | Apr 27, 2026 UTC |
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.630 | $6.3 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
| Wizards vs. NetsNets | buy | 4.88 | $0.610 | $2.98 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| Magic vs. RaptorsMagic | buy | 4.78 | $0.460 | $2.2 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
 EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
| Knicks vs. HornetsKnicks | buy | 2.48K | $0.490 | $1.22K | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
| Knicks vs. HornetsKnicks | buy | 2K | $0.490 | $980 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.450 | $4.5 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
| Bruins vs. DevilsBruins | buy | 40 | $0.470 | $18.8 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| Grizzlies vs. 76ersGrizzlies | buy | 5 | $0.389 | $1.95 | Mar 10, 2026 UTC |
 LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Colossal Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group 3Arctic Pandas | buy | 15 | $0.660 | $9.9 | Mar 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 2.18 | $0.963 | $2.1 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.460 | $3.22 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
 Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1NIP | buy | 50 | $0.590 | $29.5 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.412 | $2.06 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
 KHL: Lada Togliatti vs. TorpedoLada Togliatti | buy | 20 | $0.350 | $7 | Feb 10, 2026 UTC |
 Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.680 | $6.8 | Feb 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.928 | $4.64 | Feb 10, 2026 UTC |
 LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular SeasonGAM Esports | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Feb 5, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.979 | $5 | Feb 5, 2026 UTC |
| Timberwolves vs. RaptorsRaptors | buy | 326 | $0.470 | $153.22 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
| Timberwolves vs. RaptorsRaptors | buy | 111.21 | $0.470 | $52.27 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
| Timberwolves vs. RaptorsRaptors | buy | 16.98 | $0.470 | $7.98 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
| Timberwolves vs. RaptorsRaptors | buy | 26 | $0.470 | $12.22 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
| Timberwolves vs. RaptorsRaptors | buy | 18.87 | $0.470 | $8.87 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
| Timberwolves vs. RaptorsRaptors | buy | 28.3 | $0.470 | $13.3 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
| Timberwolves vs. RaptorsRaptors | buy | 2 | $0.470 | $0.94 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
| Timberwolves vs. RaptorsRaptors | buy | 8 | $0.470 | $3.76 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
| Timberwolves vs. RaptorsRaptors | buy | 8.92 | $0.470 | $4.19 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
| Timberwolves vs. RaptorsRaptors | buy | 20.74 | $0.470 | $9.75 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
| Timberwolves vs. RaptorsRaptors | buy | 432.94 | $0.470 | $203.48 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
| Timberwolves vs. RaptorsRaptors | buy | 660 | $0.470 | $310.2 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
 LoL: T1 Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-InT1 Academy | buy | 3.16 | $0.950 | $3 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
 SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.