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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 108.88 | $0.228 | $7.08 | -$17.72 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 32.98 | $0.460 | $15.17 | Feb 28, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 26.32 |
| $0.760 |
| $20 |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 21.19 | $0.094 | $2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 17.96 | $0.167 | $3 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.39 | $0.230 | $4 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 63.29 | $0.079 | $5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.015 | $3 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.240 | $4 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.078 | $3 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.029 | $1.45 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 52.36 | $0.045 | $2.36 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.035 | $3.5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.640 | $4.26 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 26.44 | $0.180 | $4.76 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.028 | $2.8 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.070 | $9.1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.070 | $9.1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.029 | $2.9 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.150 | $7.5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.034 | $2.04 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.150 | $7.5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | sell | 710.95 | $0.007 | $5.16 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 207.67 | $0.014 | $3 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 27.15 | $0.147 | $4 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.070 | $3 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.450 | $3 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.53 | $0.170 | $4 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 85.71 | $0.070 | $6 | Jan 2, 2026 |