Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 12 | $0.069 | $1.59 | +$0.76 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 130.58 | $0.999 | $130.45 | 9d ago |
|
| buy |
| 130.59 |
| $0.850 |
| $111 |
| Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.750 | $9 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.280 | $20 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 136.99 | $0.730 | $100 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 131.05 | $0.995 | $130.39 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | sell | 55.55 | $0.010 | $0.56 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 318.58 | $0.004 | $1.29 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 318.58 | $0.006 | $2 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 568.18 | $0.880 | $500 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 178.57 | $0.560 | $100 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 17.64 | $0.247 | $4.36 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 17.65 | $0.170 | $3 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?No | sell | 240.98 | $0.016 | $3.75 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.280 | $8 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 59.97 | $0.167 | $10 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 142 | $0.165 | $23.43 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 87.51 | $0.074 | $6.46 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.6K | $0.003 | $5 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETDown | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETDown | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 82.86 | $0.121 | $10 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.6K | $0.010 | $26 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 218.99 | $0.008 | $1.85 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?No | buy | 240.99 | $0.415 | $100 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.13 | $0.004 | $0.17 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 252.25 | $0.004 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 502.5 | $0.004 | $2 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Drake perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No | sell | 240 | $0.831 | $199.32 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 145.65 | $0.034 | $5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 201.25 | $0.050 | $10 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 131.05 | $0.973 | $127.51 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?No | buy | 259.43 | $0.298 | $77.28 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?No | sell | 235.28 | $0.290 | $68.23 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?No | buy | 449.24 | $0.264 | $118.45 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | sell | 4.11K | $0.030 | $122.31 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 262.11 | $0.950 | $249 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.048 | $2 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.174 | $2.48 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | buy | 5.08K | $0.064 | $327 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 343.82 | $0.950 | $326.63 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.210 | $3 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | buy | 451.72 | $0.576 | $260 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | sell | 560.5 | $0.470 | $263.44 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 61.8 | $0.890 | $55 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 61.53 | $0.900 | $55.38 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 179.78 | $0.890 | $160 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 102.25 | $0.890 | $91 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 2.05K | $0.036 | $74.1 | Jun 27, 2026 |