Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 81.23 | $0.880 | $71.89 | +$0.43 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.2 | $0.790 | $3.32 | 21h ago |
 |
| No |
| 56.08 |
| $0.655 |
| $38.42 |
| +$1.69 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | No | 70.37 | $0.340 | $32.02 | +$8.09 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | Yes | 202.77 | $0.227 | $27.37 | -$18.58 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 17.98 | $0.470 | $14.11 | +$5.66 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 27.27 | $0.550 | $14.05 | -$0.95 |
 Will California enact a law recognizing Jews as an ethnic group by December 31? | Yes | 12 | $0.800 | $11.22 | +$1.62 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | Yes | 40.7 | $0.526 | $10.99 | -$10.42 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 105.86 | $0.204 | $10.06 | -$11.57 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 10.87 | $0.342 | $6.57 | +$2.86 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | Yes | 76 | $0.150 | $5.7 | -$5.7 |
 Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.880 | $5.32 | +$0.15 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 5.49 | $0.780 | $4.33 | +$0.05 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | Yes | 11.91 | $0.330 | $3.57 | -$0.36 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | No | 4.2 | $0.790 | $3.43 | +$0.11 |
 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 28.73 | $0.325 | $3.02 | -$6.33 |
 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 34 | $0.300 | $2.89 | -$7.31 |
 Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | No | 5.57 | $0.510 | $2.67 | -$0.17 |
 Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026? | No | 2.93 | $0.900 | $2.64 | $0 |
 Will Bekim Sejdiu be the next President of Kosovo? | Yes | 6.72 | $0.580 | $2.32 | -$1.58 |
 Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 29.55 | $0.290 | $2.22 | -$6.35 |
 Will David West win the 2026 Richmond Hill mayoral election? | Yes | 2.22 | $0.890 | $2.18 | +$0.2 |
 Will Emmanuel Bwacha win the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election? | No | 2.23 | $0.740 | $1.82 | +$0.17 |
 Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague? | Yes | 4.2 | $0.190 | $1.79 | +$0.99 |
 Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? | Yes | 34.03 | $0.130 | $1.7 | -$2.72 |
| sell |
| 0.5 |
| $0.430 |
| $0.22 |
| 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 6.43 | $0.420 | $2.7 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 1.07 | $0.380 | $0.41 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 11.09 | $0.350 | $3.88 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 4.31 | $0.360 | $1.55 | 1d ago |
| Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?Yes | sell | 5.87 | $0.910 | $5.34 | 1d ago |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Yes | buy | 12.92 | $0.095 | $1.23 | 1d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.51 | $0.912 | $0.47 | 2d ago |
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.86 | $0.880 | $0.76 | 2d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 41.71 | $0.660 | $27.53 | 2d ago |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.02 | $0.870 | $4.37 | 2d ago |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.25 | $0.870 | $0.22 | 2d ago |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.26 | $0.870 | $0.23 | 2d ago |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 6.65 | $0.870 | $5.79 | 2d ago |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.42 | $0.870 | $0.37 | 2d ago |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.45 | $0.880 | $4.8 | 2d ago |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | sell | 24.53 | $0.880 | $21.59 | 2d ago |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.8 | $0.880 | $5.98 | 2d ago |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.890 | $1.08 | 2d ago |
| Will David West win the 2026 Richmond Hill mayoral election?Yes | sell | 6.5 | $0.972 | $6.32 | 2d ago |
| Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?Yes | buy | 4.2 | $0.190 | $0.8 | 3d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.35 | $0.830 | $1.12 | 3d ago |
| Will Emmanuel Bwacha win the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election?No | buy | 2.23 | $0.740 | $1.65 | 4d ago |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | sell | 0.5 | $0.890 | $0.45 | 4d ago |
| Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?Yes | sell | 1.89 | $0.860 | $1.63 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 93.21 | $0.190 | $17.71 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.7 | $0.200 | $1.14 | 4d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 22.26 | $0.850 | $18.92 | 4d ago |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | buy | 11.91 | $0.330 | $3.93 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.93 | $0.370 | $2.56 | 5d ago |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.900 | $1.36 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.88 | $0.400 | $5.55 | 5d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 8.66 | $0.510 | $4.42 | 5d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 2.18 | $0.510 | $1.11 | 5d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 10.85 | $0.850 | $9.22 | 5d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | sell | 11.29 | $0.820 | $9.26 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 3.48 | $0.293 | $1.02 | 5d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.800 | $1.08 | 5d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.35 | $0.630 | $2.11 | 5d ago |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?No | buy | 5.57 | $0.510 | $2.84 | 6d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 27.27 | $0.550 | $15 | 6d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 22.25 | $0.860 | $19.13 | 6d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.13 | $0.640 | $6.48 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.44 | $0.640 | $2.84 | 7d ago |
| Will Bekim Sejdiu be the next President of Kosovo?Yes | buy | 6.72 | $0.580 | $3.9 | 7d ago |
| Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?Yes | buy | 13.64 | $0.880 | $12 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.16 | $0.640 | $2.02 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 151.96 | $0.180 | $27.35 | 7d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 11.29 | $0.830 | $9.37 | 8d ago |