Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? | No | 300 | $0.817 | $290.7 | +$45.64 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 59.99 | $0.018 | $1.08 | 20h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 260.85 |
| $0.724 |
| $202.15 |
| +$13.26 |
 Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.598 | $96.35 | +$36.58 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026? | Yes | 268 | $0.325 | $67 | -$20.22 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 259.44 | $0.063 | $22.57 | +$6.17 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 799.94 | $0.026 | $17.6 | -$3.48 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10.56 | +$0.56 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.372 |
| $37.22 |
| 20h ago |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.064 | $6.4 | 1d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.741 | $88.9 | 1d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 140.85 | $0.710 | $100 | 1d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 168 | $0.298 | $50 | 1d ago |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | 1d ago |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 159.44 | $0.063 | $10 | 1d ago |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 739.95 | $0.027 | $20 | 1d ago |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.25K | $0.083 | $103.15 | 5d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.133 | $10 | 5d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 220.27 | $0.227 | $50 | 5d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 950.71 | $0.210 | $200 | 5d ago |
 US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.680 | $68 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.814 | $162.84 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.520 | $52.02 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.630 | $63 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.705 | $281.81 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.600 | $180 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.470 | $94 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.880 | $880 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.012 | $1.19 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.830 | $249 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.140 | $84 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.553 | $331.57 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?No | buy | 800 | $0.937 | $749.68 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.760 | $152 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.770 | $154 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.790 | $316 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 600 | $0.840 | $504 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.930 | $930 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 199.93 | $0.690 | $137.95 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.250 | $11.25 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.390 | $11.7 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.004 | $1.94 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.029 | $5.8 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.790 | $316 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ETUp | buy | 99.84 | $0.060 | $5.99 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.317 | $63.47 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.780 | $390 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.840 | $168 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.130 | $7.8 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 18.68 | $0.588 | $10.98 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.260 | $11.7 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.860 | $172 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 300 | $0.817 | $245.06 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No | buy | 900 | $0.900 | $810 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will any xAI Grok model score at least 25% on the FrontierMath Exam?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.665 | $26.6 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will any xAI Grok model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?No | buy | 40 | $0.645 | $25.8 | Feb 2, 2026 |