Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 5.1 | $0.986 | $5.03 | 29d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 5.1 |
| $0.976 |
| $4.98 |
| 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.992 | $5.06 | 29d ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 24?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.940 | $4.79 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 24?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.955 | $4.87 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?Yes | buy | 5.1 | $0.950 | $4.85 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.985 | $5.02 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?No | sell | 5.2 | $0.980 | $5.1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?No | sell | 5.2 | $0.988 | $5.14 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.940 | $4.89 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.988 | $5.14 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.997 | $5.18 | May 12, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No | buy | 5.19 | $0.950 | $4.93 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.2 | $0.946 | $4.92 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.9 | $0.976 | $9.66 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.2 | $0.989 | $5.14 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.2 | $0.959 | $4.99 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.987 | $2.19 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.964 | $4.92 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.890 | $4.54 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 29, 2026?No | buy | 6.98 | $0.984 | $6.87 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.929 | $4.74 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.74 | $0.928 | $1.61 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 31?No | buy | 8.12 | $0.994 | $8.07 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Epstein client list released in 2025?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.995 | $5.07 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.997 | $5.08 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.997 | $5.08 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Brøndby IF win on 2025-10-27?Yes | buy | 13.11 | $0.998 | $13.08 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model on September 30?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.995 | $5.17 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 5.2 | $0.986 | $5.13 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?No | buy | 6.99 | $0.940 | $6.57 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.984 | $5.9 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 US x Iran ceasefire before August?No | buy | 6.47 | $0.995 | $6.44 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by July 31?No | buy | 6 | $0.994 | $5.96 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 12.4 | $0.973 | $12.07 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.830 | $5.81 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 5.6 | $0.957 | $5.36 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 5 | $0.980 | $4.9 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No | buy | 5.5 | $0.995 | $5.47 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No | buy | 5 | $0.980 | $4.9 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No | sell | 5 | $0.998 | $4.99 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No | buy | 5 | $0.997 | $4.99 | Feb 19, 2025 |
| Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No | buy | 5 | $0.996 | $4.98 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Will Joel Embiid lead the NBA in scoring?No | sell | 5 | $0.996 | $4.98 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in scoring?No | sell | 5 | $0.995 | $4.98 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Joel Embiid lead the NBA in scoring?No | buy | 5 | $0.997 | $4.99 | Jan 17, 2025 |
| Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in scoring?No | buy | 5 | $0.996 | $4.98 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 Will Szymon Hołownia be the next President of Poland?No | sell | 5 | $0.984 | $4.92 | Dec 20, 2024 |
 Will Marek Jakubiak be the next President of Poland?No | sell | 5 | $0.996 | $4.98 | Dec 20, 2024 |
| Will Szymon Hołownia be the next President of Poland?No | buy | 5 | $0.985 | $4.93 | Dec 20, 2024 |