Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 46% on 22 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 22 Jan 2026 to 31 Jan 2026, the highest close was 46% on 22 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.7% on 31 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 10% on 24 Jan 2026. $123.49K traded over the market's life.
83 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 1, 4:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 22 Jan 2026 – 31 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jan 2026 | 46.0% |
| 31 Jan 2026 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 31.09K |
| PolJim | Yes | 10.98K |
| ImJustKenVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | Yes | 5.07K |
| Derekthaman |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which a government funding bill is passed by Congress, defined as the date on which the second chamber (either the U.S. House of Representatives or the U.S. Senate) passes the bill. This market will resolve to “No Bill passed by Jan 31” if no government funding bill is passed by Congress by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying bill must actually pass both chambers of Congress (the US House and the US Senate). Passage of separate or different bills will not qualify; it must be the same piece of legislation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/when-will-congress-pass-the-next-funding-bill
| Yes |
| 2.45K |
| qiaolu | Yes | 1.45K |
| wasest | Yes | 1.24K |
| mmmmus | Yes | 1.2K |
| roberto-conchini | Yes | 1.11K |
| Metacritic20260798 | Yes | 1K |
| habibshahizada | Yes | 908.61 |
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