Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 0.8% on 25 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 25 Jul 2025 to 1 Aug 2025, the highest close was 1.3% on 27 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Aug 2025. $335.69K traded over the market's life.
35 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 12:48 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 25 Jul 2025 – 1 Aug 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2025 | 0.8% |
| 1 Aug 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LiberaceSparklebottom | Yes | 91.39K |
| DickTurbin | Yes | 7.18K |
| quarter-kelly | Yes | 5K |
| user-213094o | Yes | 1.99K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-pardon-ghislaine-maxwell-by-july-31
| Yhei | Yes | 1.23K |
| lekt69420 | Yes | 1.11K |
| TexasAggie | Yes | 1.11K |
| Phoenician | Yes | 919.99 |
| Zbongo | Yes | 818.18 |
| Minon | Yes | 703.3 |
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