Latest trade
Oct 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 5:15 AM UTC.
Analytics
quarter-kelly has made $11.01K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 5:15 AM UTC.
$56.86 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 28 markets; 92.0% were buys. They run from Jul 28, 2026 UTC to Oct 22, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | Yes | 2.09K | $0.096 | $971.84 | +$771.84 |
 Will Oura not IPO before January 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Partizan vs. KK Crvena ZvezdaPartizan | buy | 79.12 | $0.500 | $39.56 | 2d ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-23 02:35 UTC
Polymarket public position response
3 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 05:15 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 05:15 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-23 02:35 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $28.73K and losing ones cost $12.25K across the latest 50 settled positions. 56% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $9.51K on “Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?” (Yes); the largest loss, $2.6K on “Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 22 Oct 2026. It has traded 119 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.08K across 3 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 114.8 |
| $0.871 |
| $106.13 |
| +$6.13 |
 Will Jared Goff win the 2026 NFL MVP? | Yes | 19.98 | $0.020 | $0.62 | +$0.22 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.500 |
| $2.5 |
| 2d ago |
| Partizan vs. KK Crvena ZvezdaPartizan | buy | 182.44 | $0.500 | $91.22 | 2d ago |
| Partizan vs. KK Crvena ZvezdaPartizan | buy | 12 | $0.500 | $6 | 2d ago |
 Kings vs. IslandersKings | buy | 416.67 | $0.480 | $200 | 2d ago |
| Partizan vs. KK Crvena ZvezdaPartizan | buy | 121.44 | $0.500 | $60.72 | 2d ago |
 Spread: James Madison (-10.5)James Madison | buy | 631 | $0.510 | $321.81 | 3d ago |
| Spread: Olympiacos B.C. (-3.5)Olympiacos B.C. | buy | 409 | $0.510 | $208.59 | 9d ago |
| Sharks vs. PredatorsPredators | buy | 478.57 | $0.560 | $268 | 9d ago |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in September?Yes | buy | 985.35 | $0.020 | $20 | 11d ago |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in September?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.140 | $50 | 11d ago |
 Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | 11d ago |
| Will Jared Goff win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes | buy | 19.98 | $0.020 | $0.4 | 12d ago |
 Predators vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Under | buy | 457 | $0.540 | $246.78 | 16d ago |
| Spread: Missouri (-3.5)Missouri | buy | 210.39 | $0.509 | $107 | 17d ago |
| Wild vs. SabresSabres | buy | 393.88 | $0.490 | $193 | 18d ago |
| Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Over | buy | 101.69 | $0.520 | $52.88 | 22d ago |
| Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Over | buy | 51.86 | $0.520 | $26.97 | 22d ago |
| Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Over | buy | 20.83 | $0.520 | $10.83 | 22d ago |
| Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Over | buy | 10.2 | $0.520 | $5.3 | 22d ago |
| Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Over | buy | 195.27 | $0.520 | $101.54 | 22d ago |
| Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Over | buy | 5.59 | $0.520 | $2.91 | 22d ago |
| Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Over | buy | 32.55 | $0.520 | $16.93 | 22d ago |
| Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?Yes | buy | 114.8 | $0.871 | $100 | 24d ago |
| Spread: Liberty (-2.5)Coastal Carolina | sell | 200 | $0.490 | $98 | Sep 24, 2026 UTC |
| Spread: Liberty (-2.5)Coastal Carolina | buy | 400 | $0.500 | $200 | Sep 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Yes | buy | 420 | $0.049 | $20.79 | Sep 24, 2026 UTC |
 Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5)Las Vegas Aces | sell | 6.39 | $0.540 | $3.45 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
| Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5)Las Vegas Aces | sell | 221.26 | $0.540 | $119.48 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
| Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5)Las Vegas Aces | buy | 227.66 | $0.530 | $120.66 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
| Minnesota Lynx vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 175.5Over | buy | 100 | $0.530 | $53 | Aug 30, 2026 UTC |
| Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)New York Liberty | buy | 400 | $0.520 | $208 | Aug 29, 2026 UTC |
| Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)New York Liberty | buy | 10.42 | $0.520 | $5.42 | Aug 29, 2026 UTC |
| Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)New York Liberty | buy | 5.21 | $0.520 | $2.71 | Aug 29, 2026 UTC |
| Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)New York Liberty | buy | 4.51 | $0.520 | $2.35 | Aug 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes | buy | 2.09K | $0.096 | $200 | Aug 28, 2026 UTC |
| Indiana Fever vs. Chicago SkyIndiana Fever | buy | 687.04 | $0.540 | $371 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
| Spread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5)Atlanta Dream | buy | 1.07K | $0.510 | $547.32 | Aug 22, 2026 UTC |
| Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5)Indiana Fever | buy | 39.01 | $0.520 | $20.29 | Aug 16, 2026 UTC |
| Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5)Indiana Fever | buy | 37.35 | $0.520 | $19.42 | Aug 16, 2026 UTC |
| Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5)Indiana Fever | buy | 721.64 | $0.520 | $375.25 | Aug 16, 2026 UTC |
| Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)Atlanta Dream | sell | 782 | $0.520 | $406.73 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
| Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)Atlanta Dream | buy | 782 | $0.520 | $406.64 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
| Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty: O/U 178.5Under | buy | 721.44 | $0.500 | $360.72 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
| Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty: O/U 178.5Under | buy | 28.56 | $0.500 | $14.28 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
| New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 176.5Over | buy | 790 | $0.500 | $395 | Aug 1, 2026 UTC |
| Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 180.5Over | buy | 2.81 | $0.520 | $1.46 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 180.5Over | buy | 8.22 | $0.520 | $4.27 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 180.5Over | buy | 0.29 | $0.520 | $0.15 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Spread: Dallas Wings (-1.5)Atlanta Dream | buy | 310 | $0.510 | $158.1 | Jul 28, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.