Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2.03 | $0.788 | $1.6 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 27.77 |
| $0.220 |
| $6.11 |
| Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.360 | $15 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | sell | 4.91 | $0.630 | $3.09 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No | sell | 6.41 | $0.830 | $5.32 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)Netherlands | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Spread: Germany (-2.5)Germany | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)Netherlands | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 9.58 | $0.522 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.900 | $15 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 28.3 | $0.530 | $15 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 23.01 | $0.652 | $15 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 7.14 | $0.900 | $6.43 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 3.4 | $0.860 | $2.92 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 20.27 | $0.770 | $15.61 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 18.01 | $0.842 | $15.16 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 20.27 | $0.740 | $15 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.039 | $5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.210 | $2.1 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 91.84 | $0.490 | $45 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | sell | 9.67 | $0.830 | $8.03 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | sell | 55.62 | $0.051 | $2.84 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.090 | $4.09 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 125.37 | $0.570 | $71.49 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 43.86 | $0.114 | $5 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes | sell | 56.82 | $0.999 | $56.76 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.085 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.836 | $1.7 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?No | sell | 6.09 | $0.170 | $1.04 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 3.22 | $0.220 | $0.71 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.720 | $4.5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No | buy | 3.41 | $0.880 | $3 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Yes | buy | 6.09 | $0.985 | $6 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?No | sell | 21.91 | $0.610 | $13.37 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Beth Davidson be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?No | sell | 1.44 | $0.770 | $1.11 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.75 | $0.690 | $1.9 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No | sell | 14.7 | $0.910 | $13.38 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | Jun 17, 2026 |