Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 13.95K | $0.992 | $13.89K | +$48.83 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | buy | 13.74K | $0.998 | $13.71K | 27d ago |
|
| No |
| 22.96 |
| $0.589 |
| $17.79 |
| +$4.27 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 5.38 | $0.860 | $4.87 | +$0.24 |
| buy |
| 5.38 |
| $0.860 |
| $4.63 |
| Aug 8, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.47 | $0.570 | $4.83 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 14.49 | $0.600 | $8.69 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?No | buy | 12.8K | $0.999 | $12.79K | May 30, 2026 |
 QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?Yes | buy | 12.6K | $0.997 | $12.56K | May 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 5.25K | $0.998 | $5.24K | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast hit 120.5 billion views by April 30?No | buy | 57.88 | $0.999 | $57.82 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 235.36 | $0.998 | $234.87 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.3K | $0.999 | $1.3K | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?No | sell | 1.31K | $0.997 | $1.3K | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?No | buy | 423.41 | $0.982 | $415.69 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?No | buy | 120 | $0.977 | $117.18 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?No | buy | 201.36 | $0.978 | $196.85 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 4.67K | $0.992 | $4.64K | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?No | buy | 1.83K | $0.994 | $1.82K | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?No | buy | 2.06K | $0.993 | $2.04K | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?No | buy | 2.49K | $0.993 | $2.47K | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.48K | $0.998 | $12.45K | Apr 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 12.45K | $0.998 | $12.42K | Apr 9, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 12.42K | $0.998 | $12.4K | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?No | buy | 10.5K | $0.998 | $10.48K | Apr 1, 2026 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by March 31?No | buy | 4.31K | $0.998 | $4.3K | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.51 | $0.999 | $1.51 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 100.1 | $0.999 | $100 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by March 31?No | buy | 1.36K | $0.997 | $1.35K | Mar 20, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by March 31?No | buy | 3K | $0.997 | $2.99K | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast hit 115 billion views by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.92K | $0.991 | $3.89K | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?Yes | buy | 12.27K | $0.999 | $12.25K | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.966 | $115.92 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.24K | $0.999 | $12.22K | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 12.21K | $0.999 | $12.2K | Mar 1, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by February 28?No | buy | 1.25K | $0.999 | $1.24K | Feb 27, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by February 28?No | buy | 10.95K | $0.993 | $10.88K | Feb 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.999 | $1.32 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.12K | $0.998 | $12.09K | Feb 6, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 3.03K | $0.999 | $3.03K | Feb 1, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 9.06K | $0.998 | $9.04K | Feb 1, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?No | buy | 9.04K | $0.999 | $9.03K | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by January 31?No | buy | 3.03K | $0.999 | $3.02K | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will four or more people dissent the January Fed decision?No | buy | 5.17 | $0.999 | $5.16 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will three people dissent the January Fed decision?No | buy | 6.96K | $0.950 | $6.61K | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.09K | $0.999 | $5.09K | Jan 28, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?No | sell | 5.07K | $0.998 | $5.06K | Jan 28, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?No | buy | 65 | $0.987 | $64.16 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?No | buy | 5K | $0.987 | $4.94K | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $94,000 November 10-16?No | buy | 49.39 | $0.670 | $33.09 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $94,000 November 10-16?No | buy | 108.78 | $0.699 | $76.03 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets in November 2025?No | buy | 312.68 | $0.999 | $312.37 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 13?Yes | buy | 3.78 | $0.995 | $3.76 | Nov 13, 2025 |