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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.51 | $0.955 | $0.5 | +$0.01 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 21.1 | $0.650 | $13.72 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 0.82 |
| $0.400 |
| $0.18 |
| -$0.15 |
 Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 0.77 | $0.023 | $0.01 | -$0.01 |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.43 | $0.044 | $0.01 | -$0.01 |
| buy |
| 48 |
| $0.910 |
| $43.68 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.034 | $0.78 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 37 | $0.967 | $35.78 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 37 | $0.967 | $35.78 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 70 | $0.400 | $28 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 30.51 | $0.400 | $12.2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.270 | $12.15 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.111 | $5.33 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.045 | $2.03 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 25 | $0.410 | $10.25 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 59.82 | $0.400 | $23.93 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | sell | 44 | $0.971 | $42.72 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 44 | $0.969 | $42.64 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.061 | $3.97 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 87 | $0.490 | $42.63 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 87 | $0.480 | $41.76 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.750 | $7.5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | sell | 1 | $0.973 | $0.97 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No | buy | 14 | $0.750 | $10.5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | sell | 40 | $0.975 | $39 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | buy | 41 | $0.975 | $39.98 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes | sell | 66 | $0.610 | $40.26 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes | buy | 66 | $0.650 | $42.9 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.290 | $8.99 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 12 | $0.959 | $11.51 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 32.49 | $0.957 | $31.09 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 45 | $0.953 | $42.89 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 137 | $0.190 | $26.03 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 137 | $0.190 | $26.03 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 41 | $0.953 | $39.07 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 89 | $0.270 | $24.03 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 84 | $0.280 | $23.52 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 58 | $0.690 | $40.02 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.969 | $24.22 | May 31, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 17 | $0.965 | $16.41 | May 29, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 48 | $0.916 | $43.97 | May 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 42 | $0.630 | $26.46 | May 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.630 | $26.46 | May 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 74 | $0.540 | $39.96 | May 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 60 | $0.610 | $36.6 | May 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 35.4 | $0.670 | $23.72 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 73 | $0.630 | $45.99 | May 24, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 41 | $0.979 | $40.14 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 74 | $0.038 | $2.81 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.039 | $2.89 | May 21, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.310 | $2.48 | May 21, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.310 | $2.48 | May 21, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by May 31?No | buy | 38 | $0.920 | $34.96 | May 19, 2026 |