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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | No | 20 | $0.670 | $19.6 | +$6.2 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?No | buy | 533.01 | $0.730 | $389.1 | 9d ago |
|
| No |
| 20.33 |
| $0.808 |
| $18.1 |
| +$1.67 |
 Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.650 | $15.4 | +$2.4 |
 Will Linke win 35-39 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 20 | $0.700 | $14.2 | +$0.2 |
| Will Linke win 35-39 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 39.8 | $0.420 | $11.54 | -$5.18 |
 Will Davante Adams have 774.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 20 | $0.665 | $10.5 | -$2.8 |
 Will Christian McCaffrey have 574.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 20 | $0.630 | $10 | -$2.6 |
 Will Ladd McConkey have 9.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 40 | $0.450 | $8.4 | -$9.6 |
 Will Marvin Harrison Jr. have 7.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 40 | $0.460 | $8.4 | -$10 |
| Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.500 | $7.8 | -$2.2 |
 Will Nikki Haley announce a presidential run before 2028? | Yes | 20 | $0.370 | $7.2 | -$0.2 |
 Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by November 30, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.480 | $6.1 | -$3.5 |
 Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 29.09 | $0.443 | $5.67 | -$7.22 |
 Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.210 | $4.9 | +$0.7 |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.470 | $4.6 | -$4.8 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 11 | $0.650 | $4.24 | -$2.91 |
 Will Ja'Marr Chase have 14.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 20 | $0.460 | $3.3 | -$5.9 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.290 | $2.2 | -$3.6 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 100 | $0.014 | $0.45 | -$0.95 |
 First Round Outright Winner in the LA-05 House Election? | Yes | 20 | $0.180 | $0.45 | -$3.15 |
| buy |
| 224.72 |
| $0.890 |
| $200 |
| 10d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETDown | sell | 1.76K | $0.050 | $88.09 | 13d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETDown | sell | 26.31 | $0.040 | $1.05 | 13d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETDown | buy | 1.76K | $0.057 | $100 | 13d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETDown | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | 13d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETUp | sell | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | 13d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETUp | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | 13d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETUp | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | 13d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 59.11 | $0.508 | $30 | 14d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETDown | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETUp | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETDown | buy | 103.09 | $0.970 | $100 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETDown | sell | 5.23 | $0.590 | $3.09 | 15d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETDown | sell | 37.87 | $0.580 | $21.96 | 15d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETDown | buy | 43.1 | $0.580 | $25 | 15d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETUp | sell | 196.07 | $0.500 | $98.04 | 15d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETUp | buy | 196.08 | $0.510 | $100 | 15d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETUp | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | 15d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETUp | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | 15d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETUp | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | 15d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETUp | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | 15d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETDown | sell | 20 | $0.493 | $9.86 | 15d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | 15d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | 15d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETUp | sell | 104.34 | $0.560 | $58.43 | 15d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETUp | buy | 50 | $0.500 | $25 | 15d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETUp | buy | 54.35 | $0.460 | $25 | 15d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETUp | sell | 24.52 | $0.510 | $12.51 | 15d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETUp | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | 15d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETUp | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | 15d ago |
 Nothing Ever Happens: AugustSomething | buy | 110 | $0.016 | $1.76 | 15d ago |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 26, 2026?No | buy | 23.01 | $0.070 | $1.61 | 15d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.650 | $7.15 | 15d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.014 | $1.4 | 15d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.016 | $0.4 | 15d ago |
 Will Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | 15d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETDown | sell | 18.53 | $0.750 | $13.9 | 15d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETDown | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | 15d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETDown | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | 15d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETDown | sell | 11.62 | $0.470 | $5.46 | 15d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETDown | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | 15d ago |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 504.44 | $0.180 | $90.8 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.180 | $0.9 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-03?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 373.18 | $0.027 | $10 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 496.06 | $0.020 | $10 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 613.94 | $0.016 | $10 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 764.51 | $0.013 | $10 | Jan 3, 2026 |