Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.75 | $0.290 | $0.8 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.51 |
| $0.870 |
| $1.31 |
| Jan 10, 2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.76 | $0.370 | $1.02 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will National Citizen Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?No | sell | 1.49 | $0.997 | $1.49 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.873 | $1.32 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in January 2026?No | sell | 1.27 | $0.998 | $1.27 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in January 2026?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.999 | $1.27 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 1.39 | $0.989 | $1.37 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will National Citizen Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.993 | $1.48 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 70% and 75%?No | sell | 1.37 | $0.999 | $1.37 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.840 | $1.17 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Ukraine election called in 2025?No | sell | 1.23 | $0.978 | $1.2 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Ukraine election called in 2025?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.969 | $1.2 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Kast win by 20% to 25%?No | sell | 2.16 | $0.700 | $1.51 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | buy | 3.51 | $0.847 | $2.97 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 70% and 75%?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.998 | $1.37 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.46 | $0.950 | $1.39 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.960 | $1.41 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026?No | sell | 1.29 | $0.960 | $1.24 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will Kast win by 20% to 25%?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.660 | $1.43 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.970 | $1.26 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?No | sell | 1.4 | $0.971 | $1.36 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.900 | $1.26 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Over 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.998 | $1.24 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + JA21 + D66?No | sell | 3.09 | $0.994 | $3.07 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + JA21 + D66?No | buy | 3.1 | $0.998 | $3.09 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?No | sell | 1.17 | $0.890 | $1.04 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Finland" or "Canada" 15+ times during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.490 | $1.09 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.998 | $1.13 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Solana all time high by September 30?No | buy | 1.48 | $0.910 | $1.35 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No | sell | 1.36 | $0.975 | $1.33 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.930 | $1.27 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Yes | sell | 1.3 | $0.985 | $1.28 | Aug 29, 2025 |
 Will FIT-U hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.996 | $1.25 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.997 | $1.3 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.994 | $1.13 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will Azerbaijan win Intervision 2025?No | sell | 1.46 | $0.980 | $1.43 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will Azerbaijan win Intervision 2025?No | buy | 1.46 | $0.986 | $1.44 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | sell | 3.21 | $0.337 | $1.08 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 25–August 1?No | buy | 1.73 | $0.770 | $1.33 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?No | sell | 1.67 | $0.920 | $1.54 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.13 | $0.960 | $1.08 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | buy | 3.21 | $0.380 | $1.22 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Real Madrid win the FIFA Club World Cup?No | buy | 1.44 | $0.710 | $1.02 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 105–119 times June 27–July 4?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.920 | $1.02 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will Travis Scott respond to Pusha T dissing him by July 20th?Yes | sell | 1.93 | $0.300 | $0.58 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Travis Scott respond to Pusha T dissing him by July 20th?Yes | buy | 1.94 | $0.650 | $1.26 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump resign in 2025?No | sell | 0.26 | $0.961 | $0.25 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?No | buy | 1.68 | $0.870 | $1.46 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Will FIT-U hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.996 | $1.25 | Jun 7, 2025 |