Latest trade
Sep 6, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 7:39 AM UTC.
Analytics
Serious-Birthday has made $6.65 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 43 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-06 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 6, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 7:39 AM UTC.
$1.43 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 38 markets; 78.0% were buys. They run from Aug 4, 2026 UTC to Sep 6, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China’s CPI increase by at least 0.9% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?Yes | buy | 5.99 | $0.183 | $1.1 | Sep 6, 2026 UTC |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-06 16:35 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 07:39 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 07:39 UTC
polymarket positions
44 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-06 16:35 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $143.64 and losing ones cost $21.31 across 43 settled positions. 65.1% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $31.94 on “U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?” (No); the largest loss, $5 on “U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 6 Sep 2026. It has traded 76 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.480 |
| $2.4 |
| Sep 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 7?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.170 | $0.85 | Sep 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | Sep 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.610 | $3.05 | Aug 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in July?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.270 | $1.35 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | Aug 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Target (TGT) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | Aug 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will James Fishback win 10–15% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | Aug 18, 2026 UTC |
| Walmart (WMT) Q2 US eCommerce sales growth 25%-29%?Yes | buy | 4.99 | $0.470 | $2.35 | Aug 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will La-Z-Boy (LZB) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | Aug 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will James Fishback win 10–15% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | Aug 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.160 | $1.28 | Aug 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | Aug 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.209 | $1.67 | Aug 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 1.6% and 2.4%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.317 | $1.59 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 8 | $0.870 | $6.96 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 15?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.170 | $1.02 | Aug 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 13?Yes | buy | 5.24 | $0.260 | $1.36 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 13?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.260 | $1.24 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.190 | $1.9 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 8 | $0.760 | $6.08 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.055 | $1.1 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | buy | 15 | $0.320 | $4.8 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.320 | $3.2 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 12?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.150 | $0.75 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 12?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.112 | $0.56 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 12?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.301 | $1.51 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in July?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.470 | $2.35 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Tele-Rally?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.942 | $4.71 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 12?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 11?No | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 11?Yes | sell | 4.99 | $0.250 | $1.25 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Funeral" during Tele-Rally?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 11?Yes | buy | 4.99 | $0.400 | $2 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
 Grok 4.6 released by August 14, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Tele-Rally?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 8?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.310 | $1.55 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 8?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.160 | $1.12 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.770 | $3.85 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 7?No | buy | 5 | $0.410 | $2.05 | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?No | sell | 4.99 | $0.032 | $0.16 | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.216 | $1.08 | Aug 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 0.54 | $0.020 | $0.01 | Aug 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.46 | $0.020 | $0.09 | Aug 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | Aug 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 5?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.130 | $0.17 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.