Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 54.4%. Yes opened at 11.5% on 12 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 29 daily closes on record from 12 Aug 2026 to 9 Sep 2026, the highest close was 45.6% on 9 Sep 2026 and the lowest 5.5% on 13 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 45.6% on 9 Sep 2026. $7.84K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 12 Aug 2026 – 9 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2026 | 11.5% |
| 9 Sep 2026 | 45.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.03K |
| Violet Meteor 1B7C | Yes | 30 |
| tryrktry | Yes | 25 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China. This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report. The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)". Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/august-inflation-china-annual
| Yes |
| 0.17 |
| Haradwaith | No | 0.05 |
| JordanMooney | Yes | 0.05 |
| Swift Meteor 30F2 | Yes | 0.03 |
| fredfredfredfredman | No | 0.03 |
| shoobadooba18 | Yes | 0.01 |
| mustbethewater | No | 0.01 |
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