Latest trade
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 10:16 PM UTC.
Analytics
ev1lbear is down $26.27 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 24 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-21 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 10:16 PM UTC.
$15 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 25 markets; 64.0% were buys. They run from May 14, 2026 UTC to Oct 21, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in October? | No | 22.99 | $0.870 | $21.55 | +$1.55 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in October? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in October?Yes | sell | 41.66 | $0.300 | $12.5 | 2d ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-21 15:55 UTC
Polymarket public position response
3 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 22:16 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 22:16 UTC
polymarket positions
26 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-21 15:55 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $85.28 and losing ones cost $90.81 across 24 settled positions. 50% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $32 on “Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?” (Yes); the largest loss, $21.19 on “Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 21 Oct 2026. It has traded 28 markets. Its open positions are worth $58.5 across 3 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 25.32 |
| $0.790 |
| $21.39 |
| +$1.39 |
 Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in October? | No | 22.06 | $0.680 | $15.55 | +$0.55 |
| buy |
| 41.67 |
| $0.240 |
| $10 |
| 7d ago |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in October?No | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | 7d ago |
 Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?No | sell | 21.73 | $0.690 | $14.99 | 7d ago |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in October?No | buy | 22.06 | $0.680 | $15 | 8d ago |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in October?No | buy | 22.99 | $0.870 | $20 | 8d ago |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?No | sell | 37.03 | $0.523 | $19.36 | 10d ago |
| Will the US lose between 0 and 25k jobs in October?No | sell | 26.66 | $0.910 | $24.26 | 16d ago |
| Will the US lose between 0 and 25k jobs in October?No | buy | 26.67 | $0.750 | $20 | 17d ago |
| Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.690 | $15 | 18d ago |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?No | buy | 37.04 | $0.540 | $20 | 18d ago |
| Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in September?No | buy | 22.32 | $0.672 | $15 | 22d ago |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Yes | sell | 30.12 | $0.780 | $23.49 | 25d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 53 | $0.640 | $33.92 | 25d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 22.39 | $0.670 | $15 | 29d ago |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Yes | sell | 30.12 | $0.815 | $24.56 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 30.61 | $0.490 | $15 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.440 | $20 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.440 | $20 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?Yes | sell | 31.91 | $0.240 | $7.66 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 47.61 | $0.049 | $2.33 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 29.01 | $0.880 | $25.53 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 22.83 | $0.512 | $11.69 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?Yes | buy | 31.91 | $0.470 | $15 | Sep 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Yes | buy | 26.49 | $0.566 | $15 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 30.61 | $0.490 | $15 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 27.4 | $0.400 | $10.96 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?No | sell | 21.73 | $0.400 | $8.69 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 30.61 | $0.490 | $15 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Sep 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.690 | $15 | Sep 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 24.19 | $0.600 | $14.51 | Sep 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 48.39 | $0.310 | $15 | Aug 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Yes | buy | 60.24 | $0.830 | $50 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?Yes | buy | 13.97 | $0.716 | $10 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 22.83 | $0.438 | $10 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 97.09 | $0.103 | $10 | May 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 89.29 | $0.112 | $10 | May 29, 2026 UTC |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 36.5 | $0.274 | $10 | May 29, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 105.1 | $0.370 | $38.89 | May 29, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 82.73 | $0.510 | $42.19 | May 28, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 56.09 | $0.470 | $26.36 | May 28, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 37.67 | $0.540 | $20.34 | May 28, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 45.07 | $0.451 | $20.34 | May 28, 2026 UTC |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 27.02 | $0.230 | $6.21 | May 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.21K | $0.008 | $10 | May 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.91K | $0.005 | $10 | May 18, 2026 UTC |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | May 14, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.