Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | buy | 86.34 | $0.987 | $85.22 | 14d ago |
|
| buy |
| 85.21 |
| $0.919 |
| $78.31 |
| Jul 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | sell | 90.01 | $0.870 | $78.31 | May 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 90.01 | $0.850 | $76.51 | May 30, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No | sell | 48 | $0.938 | $45.02 | May 25, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No | buy | 81.23 | $0.805 | $65.4 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?No | buy | 65.72 | $0.988 | $64.93 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 64.93 | $0.949 | $61.62 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | sell | 79 | $0.780 | $61.62 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 79 | $0.920 | $72.68 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 72.61 | $0.939 | $68.18 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 68.25 | $0.981 | $66.95 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?No | buy | 66.96 | $0.998 | $66.83 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 January 12-18?No | buy | 66.82 | $0.999 | $66.75 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | sell | 68.58 | $0.973 | $66.73 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 36.38 | $0.926 | $33.7 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 32.2 | $0.925 | $29.79 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 63.51 | $0.995 | $63.19 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 63.19 | $0.989 | $62.49 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 69.99 | $0.893 | $62.5 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 69.99 | $0.950 | $66.49 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $200K in July?No | buy | 64.36 | $0.998 | $64.23 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 27?Yes | buy | 64.23 | $0.980 | $62.95 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | sell | 69.48 | $0.906 | $62.95 | May 24, 2025 |
 Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | sell | 127.14 | $0.986 | $125.36 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 62.14 | $0.836 | $51.95 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.800 | $52 | Apr 18, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | sell | 72 | $0.730 | $52.56 | Apr 13, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 72 | $0.730 | $52.56 | Apr 5, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?No | buy | 103.95 | $0.998 | $103.74 | Mar 27, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 107.06 | $0.969 | $103.74 | Mar 18, 2025 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 107.06 | $0.987 | $105.67 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 587.89 | $0.940 | $552.62 | Jan 27, 2025 |
| Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 57 | $0.920 | $52.44 | Jan 24, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 102.23 | $0.965 | $98.65 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Will Jordan Love win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.001 | $1.05 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Will Tua Tagovailoa win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.001 | $1.1 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Will Brock Purdy win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.001 | $1.1 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Will Tyreek Hill win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.001 | $1.05 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.984 | $98.4 | Jan 9, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 216.59 | $0.964 | $208.79 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?Yes | buy | 9K | $0.001 | $9 | Dec 15, 2024 |
 Will Ding Liren win Game 14 of the World Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 26-50 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
| Increase in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will there be 160,000,000-165,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
| Will there be 160,000,000-165,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
| Will there be 135,000,000-140,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
| Will there be less than 130,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will Trump get 70-72m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |