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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.67 | $0.040 | $0.01 | -$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 34 | $0.910 | $30.94 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 34 |
| $0.880 |
| $29.92 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 63 | $0.899 | $56.64 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 63 | $0.899 | $56.64 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No | sell | 33 | $0.965 | $31.85 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No | buy | 33 | $0.969 | $31.98 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 64 | $0.885 | $56.64 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 77 | $0.740 | $56.98 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 77 | $0.740 | $56.98 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 77 | $0.750 | $57.75 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 60 | $0.959 | $57.54 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 60 | $0.957 | $57.42 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 42 | $0.957 | $40.19 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 60 | $0.953 | $57.18 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 58 | $0.900 | $52.2 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.900 | $16.2 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 84.31 | $0.480 | $40.47 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 136 | $0.420 | $57.12 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 55 | $0.937 | $51.54 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 145 | $0.360 | $52.2 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 113 | $0.360 | $40.68 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 52 | $0.982 | $51.06 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 137 | $0.410 | $56.17 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 137 | $0.410 | $56.17 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes | buy | 92 | $0.220 | $20.24 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 42 | $0.970 | $40.74 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 52 | $0.988 | $51.38 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 58 | $0.987 | $57.25 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 58 | $0.974 | $56.49 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 82 | $0.430 | $35.26 | May 31, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 49 | $0.969 | $47.48 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 57 | $0.420 | $23.94 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 49 | $0.420 | $20.58 | May 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 91 | $0.570 | $51.87 | May 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 91 | $0.580 | $52.78 | May 26, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 75 | $0.700 | $52.5 | May 26, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 75 | $0.700 | $52.5 | May 26, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.430 | $29.24 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 56 | $0.931 | $52.14 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 56 | $0.931 | $52.14 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | sell | 31 | $0.963 | $29.85 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.040 | $0.52 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 185 | $0.040 | $7.4 | May 24, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 53 | $0.978 | $51.83 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 115 | $0.031 | $3.57 | May 23, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 106 | $0.520 | $55.12 | May 21, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.073 | $1.9 | May 20, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 122 | $0.072 | $8.78 | May 20, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 56 | $0.967 | $54.15 | May 18, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | sell | 67 | $0.740 | $49.58 | May 18, 2026 |