Latest trade
Jun 9, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 5:13 AM UTC.
Analytics
CigaretteMendoza is down $75.2 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 3 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-06-03 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jun 9, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 5:13 AM UTC.
$6.36 median trade
Its latest 28 trades covered 25 markets; 96.4% were buys. They run from Apr 29, 2026 UTC to Jun 9, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 76.09 | $0.092 | $12.71 | +$5.71 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 76.09 | $0.092 | $7 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-06-03 01:36 UTC
Polymarket public position response
4 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 05:13 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
28 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 05:13 UTC
polymarket positions
4 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-06-03 01:36 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $48.2 and losing ones cost $6.84 across 3 settled positions.
The largest win was $42.73 on “Major US official out by May 31?” (Yes); the largest loss, $6.84 on “Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 9 Jun 2026. It has traded 25 markets. Its open positions are worth $21.92 across 4 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 214.29 |
| $0.070 |
| $4.82 |
| -$10.18 |
 Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 454.55 | $0.022 | $2.5 | -$7.5 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 34.48 | $0.290 | $1.9 | -$8.1 |
| buy |
| 62.18 |
| $0.110 |
| $6.84 |
| May 29, 2026 UTC |
 Canada recession before 2027?No | buy | 509.7 | $0.010 | $5 | May 29, 2026 UTC |
| Canada recession before 2027?No | sell | 2.94K | $0.002 | $5.88 | May 29, 2026 UTC |
| Canada recession before 2027?No | buy | 2.94K | $0.007 | $20 | May 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.018 | $5 | May 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?Yes | buy | 85.47 | $0.117 | $10 | May 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | May 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes | buy | 192.88 | $0.026 | $5 | May 23, 2026 UTC |
 Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?Yes | buy | 81.97 | $0.061 | $5 | May 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 214.29 | $0.070 | $15 | May 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?No | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | May 23, 2026 UTC |
 Major US official out by May 31?Yes | buy | 26.15 | $0.191 | $5 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Major US official out by May 31?Yes | buy | 26.58 | $0.188 | $5 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.053 | $1 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?Yes | buy | 39.47 | $0.038 | $1.5 | May 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | May 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | May 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.022 | $10 | May 1, 2026 UTC |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?No | buy | 219.15 | $0.046 | $10 | May 1, 2026 UTC |
 US bank failure by May 31?Yes | buy | 8.57 | $0.350 | $3 | May 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | Apr 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.004 | $10 | Apr 30, 2026 UTC |
 James Comey arrested by May 15?No | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Apr 29, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.