Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 4.5% on 5 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 74 daily closes on record from 5 Apr 2026 to 1 Jul 2026 (14 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 4.5% on 5 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Jun 2026. $1.3M traded over the market's life.
119 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 1, 6:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 74 points, 5 Apr 2026 – 1 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2026 | 4.5% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PolyJaguar | Yes | 12.26K |
| Any-Cockroach | Yes | 9.17K |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 6.28K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-pardon-tiger-woods-by-june-30
| Yes |
| 3.33K |
| Mediocre-Prompt | Yes | 1.44K |
| Safe-Borrower | Yes | 1.4K |
| LukeDelta | Yes | 1.22K |
| Vicious-Touch | Yes | 1.16K |
| DandyLore | Yes | 1.14K |
| Keen Falcon D40C | Yes | 1.09K |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
