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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | Yes | 277.78 | $0.360 | $87.5 | -$12.5 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 112.5 | $0.010 | $1.14 | 1d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 33.74 |
| $0.039 |
| $0.27 |
| -$1.05 |
| buy |
| 277.78 |
| $0.360 |
| $100 |
| 1d ago |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 364.36 | $0.015 | $5.33 | 1d ago |
 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 181.81 | $0.070 | $12.73 | 1d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETUp | sell | 39.21 | $0.500 | $19.61 | 25d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETUp | buy | 39.22 | $0.510 | $20 | 25d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETUp | buy | 38.46 | $0.520 | $20 | 25d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.120 | $25 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 8PM ETUp | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETUp | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.4 | $0.600 | $2.04 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Soaking Wet" in July?Yes | buy | 138.05 | $0.037 | $5.14 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 510.6 | $0.039 | $20 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.110 | $20 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.39K | $0.050 | $69.3 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | sell | 616.66 | $0.769 | $474.18 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 616.67 | $0.600 | $370 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 192.5 | $0.690 | $132.83 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.38K | $0.170 | $235.53 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.38K | $0.130 | $180 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 25, 2026?Yes | sell | 128.47 | $0.005 | $0.67 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.7 | $0.365 | $5 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.7 | $0.365 | $5 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 59.41 | $0.337 | $20 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.44K | $0.090 | $220 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.44K | $0.090 | $220 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 20?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.550 | $39.28 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.44K | $0.040 | $177.78 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 20?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.420 | $30 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 192.5 | $0.260 | $50 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.44K | $0.180 | $800 | Feb 18, 2026 |