Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.344 | $17.89 | May 26, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 48 |
| $0.957 |
| $45.94 |
| May 26, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 48 | $0.949 | $45.55 | May 26, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 45 | $0.700 | $31.5 | May 26, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 39 | $0.310 | $12.09 | May 25, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.300 | $11.7 | May 25, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.690 | $0.9 | May 25, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 101 | $0.520 | $52.52 | May 25, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 101 | $0.530 | $53.53 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 81 | $0.010 | $0.81 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 169 | $0.009 | $1.52 | May 24, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 60 | $0.884 | $53.04 | May 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 72 | $0.670 | $48.24 | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | May 23, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 89 | $0.540 | $48.06 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.961 | $48.05 | May 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 51 | $0.936 | $47.74 | May 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 51 | $0.936 | $47.74 | May 20, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.280 | $5.32 | May 19, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | sell | 28 | $0.956 | $26.77 | May 19, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 28 | $0.956 | $26.77 | May 19, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 51 | $0.938 | $47.84 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Solana dip to $100 in July?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.067 | $0.27 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025?No | sell | 15 | $0.965 | $14.48 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will Solana dip to $100 in July?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.067 | $0.29 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.974 | $14.61 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 15 | $0.981 | $14.72 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 15 | $0.982 | $14.73 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.053 | $1.27 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.052 | $0.68 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?No | buy | 15 | $0.984 | $14.76 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?No | buy | 16 | $0.967 | $15.47 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will Iran enrich uranium to 90% before August?No | sell | 15 | $0.968 | $14.52 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will Iran enrich uranium to 90% before August?No | buy | 15 | $0.969 | $14.54 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?No | sell | 16 | $0.968 | $15.49 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 16 | $0.968 | $15.49 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people?Yes | sell | 71 | $0.011 | $0.78 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.982 | $14.73 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 16 | $0.960 | $15.36 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.982 | $15.71 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 12 | $0.986 | $11.83 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 12 | $0.961 | $11.53 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $40k in April?No | buy | 12 | $0.981 | $11.77 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025?No | sell | 12 | $0.984 | $11.81 | Apr 7, 2025 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025?No | buy | 12 | $0.986 | $11.83 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 National League Championship?No | sell | 12 | $0.991 | $11.89 | Apr 6, 2025 |
 Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?No | sell | 12 | $0.973 | $11.68 | Apr 4, 2025 |
| Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 12 | $0.973 | $11.68 | Mar 27, 2025 |
 Will Atalanta win the Serie A?No | buy | 12 | $0.965 | $11.58 | Mar 24, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.075 | $1.35 | Mar 21, 2025 |