Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 169.37 | $0.752 | $138.21 | +$10.87 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 53.37 | $0.756 | $40.35 | 18d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 170 |
| $0.025 |
| $1.79 |
| -$2.53 |
| buy |
| 90 |
| $0.031 |
| $2.76 |
| 18d ago |
| Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 116 | $0.750 | $86.98 | 18d ago |
| Will Variational launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.019 | $1.56 | 18d ago |
 Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1.5T yuan?Yes | buy | 117.6 | $0.954 | $112.2 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?Yes | buy | 129.11 | $0.879 | $113.49 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 113.49 | $0.930 | $105.55 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?Yes | buy | 102.24 | $0.030 | $3.07 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 117.61 | $0.770 | $90.56 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.003 | $1.2 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump say 'retard' or 'retarded' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.008 | $1.6 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 28 - March 7?Yes | buy | 22.12 | $0.019 | $0.42 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Will another party win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Will Grünen win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Feb 20, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 800-849 times Feb 14-21?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Feb 20, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 14-21?Yes | buy | 94.26 | $0.007 | $0.66 | Feb 20, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Thunder vs. HeatHeat | buy | 52.43 | $0.450 | $23.59 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?No | buy | 6.22K | $0.036 | $223.93 | Dec 15, 2024 |